Russian forces have conducted repeated but unsuccessful assaults toward Borova in Kharkiv Oblast since 2024, aiming to secure positions on the left bank of the Oskil River and enable further westward advances. As of late August 2026, ISW terrain assessments show no Russian control of the specified coordinates in Borova, with Ukrainian units conducting counterattacks that recaptured areas southeast of the settlement such as Katerynivka and Nove while disrupting Russian infiltration attempts. Russian claims of progress have repeatedly failed independent verification. Trader consensus on low probability of capture by December 31, 2026, aligns with the pattern of stalled advances, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and resource allocation toward other fronts. Resolution hinges on ISW maps confirming any qualifying Russian territorial control by the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Russland bis... in Borova einmarschieren?
$291,848 Vol.
30. September
6%
$291,848 Vol.
30. September
6%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 24, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of Borova is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Russian forces have conducted repeated but unsuccessful assaults toward Borova in Kharkiv Oblast since 2024, aiming to secure positions on the left bank of the Oskil River and enable further westward advances. As of late August 2026, ISW terrain assessments show no Russian control of the specified coordinates in Borova, with Ukrainian units conducting counterattacks that recaptured areas southeast of the settlement such as Katerynivka and Nove while disrupting Russian infiltration attempts. Russian claims of progress have repeatedly failed independent verification. Trader consensus on low probability of capture by December 31, 2026, aligns with the pattern of stalled advances, Ukrainian defensive resilience, and resource allocation toward other fronts. Resolution hinges on ISW maps confirming any qualifying Russian territorial control by the deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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