Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July 2026 joint bid of $60.50 per share for PayPal, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion, represent the core driver of the 73.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. PayPal's board has deemed the offer insufficient, with talks continuing amid demands for a higher price, while recent Q2 earnings that beat estimates on revenue growth and total payment volume have bolstered PayPal's negotiating stance. Regulatory approvals, financing commitments of about $50 billion, and the complexities of integrating consumer-facing assets like Venmo introduce additional timeline risks before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution hurdles and the absence of a signed agreement despite months of discussions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
26% Chance
$82,122 Vol.
$82,122 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
Ja
26% Chance
$82,122 Vol.
$82,122 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July 2026 joint bid of $60.50 per share for PayPal, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion, represent the core driver of the 73.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. PayPal's board has deemed the offer insufficient, with talks continuing amid demands for a higher price, while recent Q2 earnings that beat estimates on revenue growth and total payment volume have bolstered PayPal's negotiating stance. Regulatory approvals, financing commitments of about $50 billion, and the complexities of integrating consumer-facing assets like Venmo introduce additional timeline risks before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution hurdles and the absence of a signed agreement despite months of discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volumen
$82,122Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July 2026 joint bid of $60.50 per share for PayPal, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion, represent the core driver of the 73.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. PayPal's board has deemed the offer insufficient, with talks continuing amid demands for a higher price, while recent Q2 earnings that beat estimates on revenue growth and total payment volume have bolstered PayPal's negotiating stance. Regulatory approvals, financing commitments of about $50 billion, and the complexities of integrating consumer-facing assets like Venmo introduce additional timeline risks before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution hurdles and the absence of a signed agreement despite months of discussions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Paypal will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Stripe by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in Paypal by Stripe. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by Paypal or Paypal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Paypal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$82,122Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 24, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing negotiations following Stripe and Advent International's July 2026 joint bid of $60.50 per share for PayPal, valuing the target at roughly $53 billion, represent the core driver of the 73.5% market-implied probability against a 2026 close. PayPal's board has deemed the offer insufficient, with talks continuing amid demands for a higher price, while recent Q2 earnings that beat estimates on revenue growth and total payment volume have bolstered PayPal's negotiating stance. Regulatory approvals, financing commitments of about $50 billion, and the complexities of integrating consumer-facing assets like Venmo introduce additional timeline risks before year-end. Trader consensus reflects these execution hurdles and the absence of a signed agreement despite months of discussions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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