Skip to main content
icon for Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?
Technik·AI

Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?

icon for Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?
Technik·AI

Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?

7.–13. September 25%

Vor dem 31. August 24%

14. September–20. September 24%

31. August–6. September 24%

Polymarket
NEU

7.–13. September 25%

Vor dem 31. August 24%

14. September–20. September 24%

31. August–6. September 24%

Polymarket
NEU

Vor dem 31. August

$0 Vol.

24%

31. August–6. September

$0 Vol.

24%

7.–13. September

$0 Vol.

25%

14. September–20. September

$0 Vol.

24%

21. September–27. September

$0 Vol.

24%

28. September–4. Oktober

$0 Vol.

24%

5.–11. Oktober

$0 Vol.

24%

12. Oktober–18. Oktober

$0 Vol.

22%

19. Oktober–25. Oktober

$0 Vol.

22%

26. Oktober–1. November

$0 Vol.

24%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November

$47 Vol.

39%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then pushed to July—have shaped trader expectations that the next major Pro iteration will miss near-term windows. As of mid-August 2026, only lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and the August 13 Gemini 3.7 Flash have shipped, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with no firm public timeline despite internal use and ongoing Gemini 4 training. This pattern of incremental Flash releases and extended evaluation periods, amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, underpins the 56.5% market-implied probability of no Pro launch by November 1 and the roughly even distribution across September and October buckets. Upcoming catalysts include any earnings commentary or DeepMind updates that could clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria like API availability or broad rollout.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$47
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after its May 2026 I/O announcement, then pushed to July—have shaped trader expectations that the next major Pro iteration will miss near-term windows. As of mid-August 2026, only lighter variants such as Gemini 3.6 Flash, 3.5 Flash-Lite, and the August 13 Gemini 3.7 Flash have shipped, while 3.5 Pro remains in partner testing with no firm public timeline despite internal use and ongoing Gemini 4 training. This pattern of incremental Flash releases and extended evaluation periods, amid competition from OpenAI and Anthropic, underpins the 56.5% market-implied probability of no Pro launch by November 1 and the roughly even distribution across September and October buckets. Upcoming catalysts include any earnings commentary or DeepMind updates that could clarify whether the model meets resolution criteria like API availability or broad rollout.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$47
Enddatum
1. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Verwandte

icon for Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?

90%
icon for Wird es bis zum 30. September 2026 kein nächstes Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

Wird es bis zum 30. September 2026 kein nächstes Google Gemini Pro Modell geben?

40%
Ja
icon for Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?

72%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November" mit 39%, gefolgt von „7.–13. September" mit 25%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 39¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 1. November" mit 39%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 39% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „7.–13. September" mit 25%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Wann kommt das nächste Google Gemini Pro Modell auf den Markt?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.