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icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

icon for Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 42%

9. September 16%

29. September 8%

18. September 7%

Polymarket
NEU

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 42%

9. September 16%

29. September 8%

18. September 7%

Polymarket
NEU

Am oder vor dem 1. September

$62 Vol.

4%

2. September

$58 Vol.

5%

3. September

$58 Vol.

7%

4. September

$58 Vol.

5%

5. September

$58 Vol.

5%

6. September

$58 Vol.

8%

7. September

$58 Vol.

5%

8. September

$58 Vol.

5%

9. September

$58 Vol.

16%

10. September

$58 Vol.

1%

11. September

$58 Vol.

5%

12. September

$58 Vol.

5%

13. September

$58 Vol.

1%

14. September

$58 Vol.

8%

15. September

$58 Vol.

8%

16. September

$58 Vol.

5%

17. September

$58 Vol.

5%

18. September

$58 Vol.

7%

19. September

$58 Vol.

6%

20. September

$58 Vol.

9%

21. September

$58 Vol.

6%

22. September

$58 Vol.

5%

23. September

$58 Vol.

6%

24. September

$58 Vol.

5%

25. September

$58 Vol.

5%

26. September

$58 Vol.

6%

27. September

$58 Vol.

5%

28. September

$58 Vol.

9%

29. September

$58 Vol.

8%

30. September

$58 Vol.

5%

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September

$128 Vol.

42%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment around a 40% chance of no release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing with no public API endpoint or general availability, while Google has prioritized lighter variants such as Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Flash in July and August. This pattern of incremental Flash releases ahead of the Pro tier, combined with Gemini 3.1 Pro still occupying the current preview slot, reinforces expectations of further slippage into late September or beyond. No major developer conferences or earnings events are positioned to accelerate a launch in the near term.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,876
Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment around a 40% chance of no release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing with no public API endpoint or general availability, while Google has prioritized lighter variants such as Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Flash in July and August. This pattern of incremental Flash releases ahead of the Pro tier, combined with Gemini 3.1 Pro still occupying the current preview slot, reinforces expectations of further slippage into late September or beyond. No major developer conferences or earnings events are positioned to accelerate a launch in the near term.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,876
Enddatum
30. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 31 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September" mit 42%, gefolgt von „10. September" mit 9%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 42¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 31 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" ist „Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September" mit 42%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 42% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „10. September" mit 9%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Nächstes Google Gemini Pro-Modell veröffentlicht am...?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.