Google’s repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment around a 40% chance of no release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing with no public API endpoint or general availability, while Google has prioritized lighter variants such as Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Flash in July and August. This pattern of incremental Flash releases ahead of the Pro tier, combined with Gemini 3.1 Pro still occupying the current preview slot, reinforces expectations of further slippage into late September or beyond. No major developer conferences or earnings events are positioned to accelerate a launch in the near term.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKeine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 42%
9. September 16%
29. September 8%
18. September 7%
Am oder vor dem 1. September
4%
2. September
5%
3. September
7%
4. September
5%
5. September
5%
6. September
8%
7. September
5%
8. September
5%
9. September
16%
10. September
1%
11. September
5%
12. September
5%
13. September
1%
14. September
8%
15. September
8%
16. September
5%
17. September
5%
18. September
7%
19. September
6%
20. September
9%
21. September
6%
22. September
5%
23. September
6%
24. September
5%
25. September
5%
26. September
6%
27. September
5%
28. September
9%
29. September
8%
30. September
5%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September
42%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September 42%
9. September 16%
29. September 8%
18. September 7%
Am oder vor dem 1. September
4%
2. September
5%
3. September
7%
4. September
5%
5. September
5%
6. September
8%
7. September
5%
8. September
5%
9. September
16%
10. September
1%
11. September
5%
12. September
5%
13. September
1%
14. September
8%
15. September
8%
16. September
5%
17. September
5%
18. September
7%
19. September
6%
20. September
9%
21. September
6%
22. September
5%
23. September
6%
24. September
5%
25. September
5%
26. September
6%
27. September
5%
28. September
9%
29. September
8%
30. September
5%
Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 30. September
42%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro large language model, originally targeted for June after the May I/O announcement and then pushed to July, continue to anchor trader sentiment around a 40% chance of no release by September 30. The model remains in partner testing with no public API endpoint or general availability, while Google has prioritized lighter variants such as Gemini 3.7 Flash and 3.6 Flash in July and August. This pattern of incremental Flash releases ahead of the Pro tier, combined with Gemini 3.1 Pro still occupying the current preview slot, reinforces expectations of further slippage into late September or beyond. No major developer conferences or earnings events are positioned to accelerate a launch in the near term.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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