Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread of roughly 150–175 basis points, currently average 6.58–6.66% for 30-year fixed loans as of late July 2026. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75% amid sticky inflation and geopolitical energy-price pressures has kept Treasury yields elevated and limited further declines. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings tied to Middle East supply shocks have reinforced trader expectations that any additional easing will be gradual. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, August CPI and employment reports, and 10-year Treasury auctions, all of which will shape near-term rate expectations and the likelihood of the 30-year mortgage rate reaching specific thresholds before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird der 30-Jahres-Hypothekenzins __ im Jahr 2026 erreichen?
Wird der 30-Jahres-Hypothekenzins __ im Jahr 2026 erreichen?
$50,494 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
↑ 7,00 %
47%
↑ 6,75 %
77%
↓ 5,90 %
54%
↓ 5,70 %
28%
↓ 5,50 %
48%
$50,494 Vol.
↑ 7,00 %
$26 Vol.
47%
↑ 6,75 %
$181 Vol.
77%
↓ 5,90 %
$6,124 Vol.
54%
↓ 5,70 %
$7,088 Vol.
28%
↓ 5,50 %
$72 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread of roughly 150–175 basis points, currently average 6.58–6.66% for 30-year fixed loans as of late July 2026. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75% amid sticky inflation and geopolitical energy-price pressures has kept Treasury yields elevated and limited further declines. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings tied to Middle East supply shocks have reinforced trader expectations that any additional easing will be gradual. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, August CPI and employment reports, and 10-year Treasury auctions, all of which will shape near-term rate expectations and the likelihood of the 30-year mortgage rate reaching specific thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
Volumen
$50,494Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread of roughly 150–175 basis points, currently average 6.58–6.66% for 30-year fixed loans as of late July 2026. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75% amid sticky inflation and geopolitical energy-price pressures has kept Treasury yields elevated and limited further declines. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings tied to Middle East supply shocks have reinforced trader expectations that any additional easing will be gradual. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, August CPI and employment reports, and 10-year Treasury auctions, all of which will shape near-term rate expectations and the likelihood of the 30-year mortgage rate reaching specific thresholds before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any week ending on or before December 31, 2026, the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage (interest rate %) is equal to or above the listed rate, according to the Freddie Mac weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Freddie Mac — specifically, the 30-year Fixed Rate Mortgage rates published through the weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey, which can be viewed at https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms.
This market will resolve as soon as the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published. If no data for the final week ending on or before December 31, 2026 has been published by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Note: All published weekly levels of the 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage will be treated as final. Revisions to previously published data will not be considered.
Volumen
$50,494Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Feb 3, 2026, 1:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mortgage rates, which closely track the 10-year Treasury yield plus a spread of roughly 150–175 basis points, currently average 6.58–6.66% for 30-year fixed loans as of late July 2026. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.5–3.75% amid sticky inflation and geopolitical energy-price pressures has kept Treasury yields elevated and limited further declines. Recent labor-market data and inflation readings tied to Middle East supply shocks have reinforced trader expectations that any additional easing will be gradual. Key upcoming catalysts include the next FOMC meeting, August CPI and employment reports, and 10-year Treasury auctions, all of which will shape near-term rate expectations and the likelihood of the 30-year mortgage rate reaching specific thresholds before year-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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