Market icon

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

Market icon

ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?

NUEVO
17 abr 2026
Polymarket

$2,222 Vol.

Polymarket

8 de abril

$211 Vol.

9%

10 de abril

$0 Vol.

42%

April 12

$919 Vol.

80%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently holds the #1 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store, per latest Sensor Tower and Appfigures data, outpacing Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid fierce AI chatbot competition. Trader consensus reflects its resilient user adoption, bolstered by advanced large language model features like GPT-5.4's multimodal reasoning, but rankings remain volatile following early March's backlash to OpenAI's $200M Department of Defense contract. That deal triggered a 295% uninstall spike, 775% surge in one-star reviews, and Claude's brief dethroning via the "QuitGPT" boycott. No imminent product launches or regulatory shifts loom, though viral sentiment or rival updates could swiftly shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$2,222
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT currently holds the #1 spot among free apps in the US Apple App Store, per latest Sensor Tower and Appfigures data, outpacing Anthropic's Claude and Google's Gemini amid fierce AI chatbot competition. Trader consensus reflects its resilient user adoption, bolstered by advanced large language model features like GPT-5.4's multimodal reasoning, but rankings remain volatile following early March's backlash to OpenAI's $200M Department of Defense contract. That deal triggered a 295% uninstall spike, 775% surge in one-star reviews, and Claude's brief dethroning via the "QuitGPT" boycott. No imminent product launches or regulatory shifts loom, though viral sentiment or rival updates could swiftly shift dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$2,222
Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT is no longer the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If ChatGPT is no longer the #1 free app in the US Apple App Store at any point before the listed date, 11:59PM ET, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Resultado propuesto: No

Ventana de disputas

Final

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "April 12" con 80%, seguido de "10 de abril" con 42%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 7, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" es "April 12" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "10 de abril" con 42%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "ChatGPT out as #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store by...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.