Recent releases of frontier models like OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (early September 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude-Fable-5.1 have driven sharp gains on MathArena and LMArena math leaderboards, with expected performance metrics exceeding 90% on advanced problem sets and Elo ratings approaching 1550 in math categories. These gains stem from scaled reasoning chains, multi-agent coordination, and formal verification tools such as Lean, allowing progress on research-level problems from arXiv and contest math. Competitive pressure between OpenAI, Anthropic, and open-weight labs like Qwen continues to accelerate capability jumps, while typical product cycles suggest further updates before year-end could push additional models past key score thresholds. Traders should monitor official benchmark updates and lab announcements for resolution-relevant milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$126,668 Vol.
31 dic 2026
1575
51%
1600
9%
$126,668 Vol.
1575
$44,042 Vol.
51%
1600
$14,022 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases of frontier models like OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (early September 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude-Fable-5.1 have driven sharp gains on MathArena and LMArena math leaderboards, with expected performance metrics exceeding 90% on advanced problem sets and Elo ratings approaching 1550 in math categories. These gains stem from scaled reasoning chains, multi-agent coordination, and formal verification tools such as Lean, allowing progress on research-level problems from arXiv and contest math. Competitive pressure between OpenAI, Anthropic, and open-weight labs like Qwen continues to accelerate capability jumps, while typical product cycles suggest further updates before year-end could push additional models past key score thresholds. Traders should monitor official benchmark updates and lab announcements for resolution-relevant milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$126,668Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases of frontier models like OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (early September 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude-Fable-5.1 have driven sharp gains on MathArena and LMArena math leaderboards, with expected performance metrics exceeding 90% on advanced problem sets and Elo ratings approaching 1550 in math categories. These gains stem from scaled reasoning chains, multi-agent coordination, and formal verification tools such as Lean, allowing progress on research-level problems from arXiv and contest math. Competitive pressure between OpenAI, Anthropic, and open-weight labs like Qwen continues to accelerate capability jumps, while typical product cycles suggest further updates before year-end could push additional models past key score thresholds. Traders should monitor official benchmark updates and lab announcements for resolution-relevant milestones.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$126,668Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases of frontier models like OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra (early September 2026) and Anthropic’s Claude-Fable-5.1 have driven sharp gains on MathArena and LMArena math leaderboards, with expected performance metrics exceeding 90% on advanced problem sets and Elo ratings approaching 1550 in math categories. These gains stem from scaled reasoning chains, multi-agent coordination, and formal verification tools such as Lean, allowing progress on research-level problems from arXiv and contest math. Competitive pressure between OpenAI, Anthropic, and open-weight labs like Qwen continues to accelerate capability jumps, while typical product cycles suggest further updates before year-end could push additional models past key score thresholds. Traders should monitor official benchmark updates and lab announcements for resolution-relevant milestones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes