Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surging from roughly $9 billion at end-2025 to $65 billion by July 2026 on surging Claude adoption, anchors trader sentiment ahead of its expected September or October IPO. Bankers have floated $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuations tied to aggressive 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion, while the company’s $965 billion May private round and confidential June S-1 filing set a high baseline. The closely matched Polymarket distribution—led by 26.5% implied probability on a $1.75–2.0 trillion first-day close—reflects uncertainty over achievable multiples amid AI-sector volatility, comparable listings like SpaceX, and pending audited margins in the public prospectus. Key near-term catalysts include the post-Labor Day filing and roadshow execution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.4%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 11.8%
$562,999 Vol.
$562,999 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.0T
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
20%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
$1.75–$2.0T 27%
$2.0–$2.25T 20.4%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 11.8%
$562,999 Vol.
$562,999 Vol.
<$1.25T
1%
$1.25–$1.5T
2%
$1.5–$1.75T
12%
$1.75–$2.0T
27%
$2.0–$2.25T
20%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
8%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory, with annualized run-rate surging from roughly $9 billion at end-2025 to $65 billion by July 2026 on surging Claude adoption, anchors trader sentiment ahead of its expected September or October IPO. Bankers have floated $1.5–2 trillion-plus valuations tied to aggressive 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion, while the company’s $965 billion May private round and confidential June S-1 filing set a high baseline. The closely matched Polymarket distribution—led by 26.5% implied probability on a $1.75–2.0 trillion first-day close—reflects uncertainty over achievable multiples amid AI-sector volatility, comparable listings like SpaceX, and pending audited margins in the public prospectus. Key near-term catalysts include the post-Labor Day filing and roadshow execution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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