Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude model family drives current trader focus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at $5/$25 per million tokens. The company followed with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, continuing its pattern of frequent releases every few weeks amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google models. No official next Opus timeline has been announced, but the compressed cadence—Opus 4.8 in May, then Opus 5 two months later—supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Key catalysts include any developer conference hints, benchmark leaks, or regulatory shifts affecting deployment speed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$105,378 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre
76%
31 de octubre
99%
31 de diciembre
98%
$105,378 Vol.
30 de septiembre
$45,451 Vol.
76%
31 de octubre
$13,267 Vol.
99%
31 de diciembre
$5,146 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude model family drives current trader focus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at $5/$25 per million tokens. The company followed with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, continuing its pattern of frequent releases every few weeks amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google models. No official next Opus timeline has been announced, but the compressed cadence—Opus 4.8 in May, then Opus 5 two months later—supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Key catalysts include any developer conference hints, benchmark leaks, or regulatory shifts affecting deployment speed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ET
Volumen
$105,378Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude model family drives current trader focus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at $5/$25 per million tokens. The company followed with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, continuing its pattern of frequent releases every few weeks amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google models. No official next Opus timeline has been announced, but the compressed cadence—Opus 4.8 in May, then Opus 5 two months later—supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Key catalysts include any developer conference hints, benchmark leaks, or regulatory shifts affecting deployment speed.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$105,378Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 11:04 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude model family drives current trader focus, with Opus 5 launching July 24, 2026, as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding and agentic benchmarks at $5/$25 per million tokens. The company followed with Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 updates on September 1, continuing its pattern of frequent releases every few weeks amid competition from OpenAI’s GPT series and Google models. No official next Opus timeline has been announced, but the compressed cadence—Opus 4.8 in May, then Opus 5 two months later—supports market-implied odds clustering around late September. Key catalysts include any developer conference hints, benchmark leaks, or regulatory shifts affecting deployment speed.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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