Anthropic’s staggered release cadence across model tiers drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Haiku, with the last version (Haiku 4.5) shipping October 15, 2025, while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable/Mythos 5.1 launched in mid-2026. Haiku serves as the fast, low-cost large language model optimized for high-volume, real-time agentic tasks, coding, and sub-agent workflows at roughly one-third the price of frontier variants. The lack of a successor despite competitive pressure from other labs’ lightweight models, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support window ending around October 2026, has concentrated market-implied odds on a late-October release. No official announcements have confirmed timing, and product cycles can shift due to safety evaluations or internal priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$10,087 Vol.
15 oct 2026
15 de octubre
39%
31 de octubre
55%
31 de diciembre
63%
$10,087 Vol.
15 de octubre
$261 Vol.
39%
31 de octubre
$1,020 Vol.
55%
31 de diciembre
$5,055 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s staggered release cadence across model tiers drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Haiku, with the last version (Haiku 4.5) shipping October 15, 2025, while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable/Mythos 5.1 launched in mid-2026. Haiku serves as the fast, low-cost large language model optimized for high-volume, real-time agentic tasks, coding, and sub-agent workflows at roughly one-third the price of frontier variants. The lack of a successor despite competitive pressure from other labs’ lightweight models, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support window ending around October 2026, has concentrated market-implied odds on a late-October release. No official announcements have confirmed timing, and product cycles can shift due to safety evaluations or internal priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
Volumen
$10,087Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s staggered release cadence across model tiers drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Haiku, with the last version (Haiku 4.5) shipping October 15, 2025, while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable/Mythos 5.1 launched in mid-2026. Haiku serves as the fast, low-cost large language model optimized for high-volume, real-time agentic tasks, coding, and sub-agent workflows at roughly one-third the price of frontier variants. The lack of a successor despite competitive pressure from other labs’ lightweight models, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support window ending around October 2026, has concentrated market-implied odds on a late-October release. No official announcements have confirmed timing, and product cycles can shift due to safety evaluations or internal priorities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,087Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s staggered release cadence across model tiers drives current trader sentiment on the next Claude Haiku, with the last version (Haiku 4.5) shipping October 15, 2025, while Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable/Mythos 5.1 launched in mid-2026. Haiku serves as the fast, low-cost large language model optimized for high-volume, real-time agentic tasks, coding, and sub-agent workflows at roughly one-third the price of frontier variants. The lack of a successor despite competitive pressure from other labs’ lightweight models, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support window ending around October 2026, has concentrated market-implied odds on a late-October release. No official announcements have confirmed timing, and product cycles can shift due to safety evaluations or internal priorities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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