**Recent verified achievements by frontier large language models explain much of the current trader positioning on the "AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026" market.** Multiple systems, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, posted officially IMO-graded perfect 42/42 scores on the July 2026 problems in Shanghai, while independent tests showed similar results from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and others. This marks a sharp advance from 2025 gold-medal thresholds around 35 points. However, the 71.5% implied probability for No reflects distinctions in grading methods, the absence of AI as an official entrant competing under identical human rules and timelines, and market criteria likely requiring standardized, verified official recognition rather than post-hoc benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include further disclosures on proof verification and any formal IMO policy updates on AI participation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
28% probabilidad
$10,009 Vol.
$10,009 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
28% probabilidad
$10,009 Vol.
$10,009 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".**Recent verified achievements by frontier large language models explain much of the current trader positioning on the "AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026" market.** Multiple systems, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, posted officially IMO-graded perfect 42/42 scores on the July 2026 problems in Shanghai, while independent tests showed similar results from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and others. This marks a sharp advance from 2025 gold-medal thresholds around 35 points. However, the 71.5% implied probability for No reflects distinctions in grading methods, the absence of AI as an official entrant competing under identical human rules and timelines, and market criteria likely requiring standardized, verified official recognition rather than post-hoc benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include further disclosures on proof verification and any formal IMO policy updates on AI participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$10,009Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".**Recent verified achievements by frontier large language models explain much of the current trader positioning on the "AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026" market.** Multiple systems, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, posted officially IMO-graded perfect 42/42 scores on the July 2026 problems in Shanghai, while independent tests showed similar results from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and others. This marks a sharp advance from 2025 gold-medal thresholds around 35 points. However, the 71.5% implied probability for No reflects distinctions in grading methods, the absence of AI as an official entrant competing under identical human rules and timelines, and market criteria likely requiring standardized, verified official recognition rather than post-hoc benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include further disclosures on proof verification and any formal IMO policy updates on AI participation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volumen
$10,009Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent verified achievements by frontier large language models explain much of the current trader positioning on the "AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026" market.** Multiple systems, including Huawei’s Celia and Xiaohongshu’s dots-note-3.0, posted officially IMO-graded perfect 42/42 scores on the July 2026 problems in Shanghai, while independent tests showed similar results from OpenAI, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and others. This marks a sharp advance from 2025 gold-medal thresholds around 35 points. However, the 71.5% implied probability for No reflects distinctions in grading methods, the absence of AI as an official entrant competing under identical human rules and timelines, and market criteria likely requiring standardized, verified official recognition rather than post-hoc benchmarks. Upcoming catalysts include further disclosures on proof verification and any formal IMO policy updates on AI participation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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