Recent progress shows frontier large language models reached gold-medal standards on 2025 IMO problems, with Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think scoring 35/42 through verified formal and natural-language solutions. However, trader consensus prices “No” at 76% because 2026 problems appear more resistant, incremental reliability gains have not translated into consistent full gold performance under official contest conditions, and no new model releases since early 2026 have demonstrated the required leap. Key near-term catalysts include the July 2026 IMO sitting itself and any post-contest evaluations or follow-on releases that could still shift the narrow remaining margin before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
20% probabilidad
$10,009 Vol.
$10,009 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sí
20% probabilidad
$10,009 Vol.
$10,009 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent progress shows frontier large language models reached gold-medal standards on 2025 IMO problems, with Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think scoring 35/42 through verified formal and natural-language solutions. However, trader consensus prices “No” at 76% because 2026 problems appear more resistant, incremental reliability gains have not translated into consistent full gold performance under official contest conditions, and no new model releases since early 2026 have demonstrated the required leap. Key near-term catalysts include the July 2026 IMO sitting itself and any post-contest evaluations or follow-on releases that could still shift the narrow remaining margin before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Mercado abierto: Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
Volumen
$10,009Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".Recent progress shows frontier large language models reached gold-medal standards on 2025 IMO problems, with Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think scoring 35/42 through verified formal and natural-language solutions. However, trader consensus prices “No” at 76% because 2026 problems appear more resistant, incremental reliability gains have not translated into consistent full gold performance under official contest conditions, and no new model releases since early 2026 have demonstrated the required leap. Key near-term catalysts include the July 2026 IMO sitting itself and any post-contest evaluations or follow-on releases that could still shift the narrow remaining margin before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Volumen
$10,009Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent progress shows frontier large language models reached gold-medal standards on 2025 IMO problems, with Google DeepMind’s Gemini Deep Think scoring 35/42 through verified formal and natural-language solutions. However, trader consensus prices “No” at 76% because 2026 problems appear more resistant, incremental reliability gains have not translated into consistent full gold performance under official contest conditions, and no new model releases since early 2026 have demonstrated the required leap. Key near-term catalysts include the July 2026 IMO sitting itself and any post-contest evaluations or follow-on releases that could still shift the narrow remaining margin before year-end resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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