Traders view the race for second-best math AI lab on Text Arena by end of November as highly uncertain, with Google at 41.5% implied probability and Anthropic at 29% reflecting their strong recent large language model releases focused on mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12% while a long tail of labs including Moonshot, DeepSeek, Mistral, and Meta remain under 5%, underscoring intense competition and rapid capability gains across the sector. Key differentiators include demonstrated performance on complex problem-solving tasks, model training scale, and specialized fine-tuning for math, with any new benchmark results or updates likely to influence trader sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 42%
Anthropic 29%
OpenAI 12%
Tencent 6.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
42%
Anthropic
29%
OpenAI
12%
Tencent
6%
Alibaba
6%
StepFun
6%
Moonshot
5%
Z.ai
4%
DeepSeek
4%
Mistral
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
Meta
3%
MiniMax
3%
ByteDance
3%
Amazon
3%
Nvidia
1%
Thinky
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Baidu
1%
Meituan
1%
Microsoft
1%
Google 42%
Anthropic 29%
OpenAI 12%
Tencent 6.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
$1,223 Vol.
42%
Anthropic
$1,014 Vol.
29%
OpenAI
$277 Vol.
12%
Tencent
$115 Vol.
6%
Alibaba
$129 Vol.
6%
StepFun
$134 Vol.
6%
Moonshot
$415 Vol.
5%
Z.ai
$110 Vol.
4%
DeepSeek
$338 Vol.
4%
Mistral
$306 Vol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$116 Vol.
4%
Meta
$116 Vol.
3%
MiniMax
$116 Vol.
3%
ByteDance
$114 Vol.
3%
Amazon
$444 Vol.
3%
Nvidia
$110 Vol.
1%
Thinky
$137 Vol.
1%
Xiaomi
$130 Vol.
1%
Baidu
$133 Vol.
1%
Meituan
$116 Vol.
1%
Microsoft
$160 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second-best math AI lab on Text Arena by end of November as highly uncertain, with Google at 41.5% implied probability and Anthropic at 29% reflecting their strong recent large language model releases focused on mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12% while a long tail of labs including Moonshot, DeepSeek, Mistral, and Meta remain under 5%, underscoring intense competition and rapid capability gains across the sector. Key differentiators include demonstrated performance on complex problem-solving tasks, model training scale, and specialized fine-tuning for math, with any new benchmark results or updates likely to influence trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
Volumen
$5,754Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the race for second-best math AI lab on Text Arena by end of November as highly uncertain, with Google at 41.5% implied probability and Anthropic at 29% reflecting their strong recent large language model releases focused on mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12% while a long tail of labs including Moonshot, DeepSeek, Mistral, and Meta remain under 5%, underscoring intense competition and rapid capability gains across the sector. Key differentiators include demonstrated performance on complex problem-solving tasks, model training scale, and specialized fine-tuning for math, with any new benchmark results or updates likely to influence trader sentiment before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$5,754Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47de9d...Traders view the race for second-best math AI lab on Text Arena by end of November as highly uncertain, with Google at 41.5% implied probability and Anthropic at 29% reflecting their strong recent large language model releases focused on mathematical reasoning benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 12% while a long tail of labs including Moonshot, DeepSeek, Mistral, and Meta remain under 5%, underscoring intense competition and rapid capability gains across the sector. Key differentiators include demonstrated performance on complex problem-solving tasks, model training scale, and specialized fine-tuning for math, with any new benchmark results or updates likely to influence trader sentiment before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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