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Tech·IA

¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?

icon for ¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?
Tech·IA

¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?

oct 1

oct 31

oct 1

oct 31

24 de octubre 46%

15 de octubre 33%

27 de octubre 26%

18 de octubre 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

24 de octubre 46%

15 de octubre 33%

27 de octubre 26%

18 de octubre 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

En o antes del 1 de octubre

$58 Vol.

12%

2 de octubre

$39 Vol.

1%

3 de octubre

$50 Vol.

5%

4 de octubre

$50 Vol.

5%

5 de octubre

$39 Vol.

1%

6 de octubre

$50 Vol.

6%

7 de octubre

$50 Vol.

13%

8 de octubre

$50 Vol.

5%

9 de octubre

$39 Vol.

1%

10 de octubre

$50 Vol.

14%

11 de octubre

$50 Vol.

5%

12 de octubre

$50 Vol.

5%

13 de octubre

$50 Vol.

14%

14 de octubre

$50 Vol.

5%

15 de octubre

$50 Vol.

33%

16 de octubre

$42 Vol.

24%

17 de octubre

$50 Vol.

12%

18 de octubre

$42 Vol.

25%

19 de octubre

$42 Vol.

25%

20 de octubre

$42 Vol.

25%

21 de octubre

$53 Vol.

5%

22 de octubre

$50 Vol.

12%

23 de octubre

$50 Vol.

8%

24 de octubre

$42 Vol.

46%

25 de octubre

$50 Vol.

13%

26 de octubre

$50 Vol.

7%

27 de octubre

$42 Vol.

26%

28 de octubre

$50 Vol.

13%

29 de octubre

$50 Vol.

13%

30 de octubre

$50 Vol.

6%

31 de octubre

$50 Vol.

6%

Sin lanzamiento antes del 31 de octubre

$55 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May for a June launch, then slipped past July—drive the tightly clustered October odds, as the model remains in partner testing without meeting internal coding and agentic performance targets. Multiple Flash variants shipped in July through September, but the Pro tier has seen no firm timeline amid leadership shifts and a pivot toward larger Gemini 4 pre-training runs. Traders see mid-October windows as plausible for a partner-driven rollout or limited preview, yet the even spread across dates reflects uncertainty over whether Google will prioritize quality fixes or accelerate to maintain competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic models. Key near-term catalysts include any earnings commentary or API changelog updates.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,537
Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays of the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—teased at I/O in May for a June launch, then slipped past July—drive the tightly clustered October odds, as the model remains in partner testing without meeting internal coding and agentic performance targets. Multiple Flash variants shipped in July through September, but the Pro tier has seen no firm timeline amid leadership shifts and a pivot toward larger Gemini 4 pre-training runs. Traders see mid-October windows as plausible for a partner-driven rollout or limited preview, yet the even spread across dates reflects uncertainty over whether Google will prioritize quality fixes or accelerate to maintain competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic models. Key near-term catalysts include any earnings commentary or API changelog updates.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.

Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.

Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,537
Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 4:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 32 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "15 de octubre" con 33%, seguido de "27 de octubre" con 26%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 33¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 33% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?", explora los 32 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" es "15 de octubre" con 33%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 33% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "27 de octubre" con 26%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El próximo modelo de Gemini Pro lanzado el...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.