Intense competition among frontier labs in math reasoning benchmarks drives the closely matched trader sentiment, with Google and Alibaba each implied at 27% for second place behind a presumed leader. Chinese labs including Z.ai, Moonshot, and DeepSeek have released models showing strong results on MATH, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, often at lower cost, narrowing gaps with U.S. counterparts. Recent Gemini updates and ongoing Chinese model iterations sustain momentum for these players, while OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta sit lower amid slower relative gains in verified math capabilities. High uncertainty across dozens of options reflects rapid release cycles, benchmark volatility, and potential late-October breakthroughs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGoogle 24%
Alibaba 19%
Z.ai 11%
MiniMax 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 oct 2026
24%
Alibaba
19%
Z.ai
11%
MiniMax
9%
ByteDance
7%
Microsoft
6%
Baidu
6%
Xiaomi
6%
DeepSeek
6%
Meituan
6%
Amazon
6%
Anthropic
5%
Meta
5%
StepFun
5%
OpenAI
5%
Tencent
4%
Moonshot
4%
SpaceXAI
4%
Nvidia
2%
Mistral
2%
Google 24%
Alibaba 19%
Z.ai 11%
MiniMax 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 oct 2026
$110 Vol.
24%
Alibaba
$117 Vol.
19%
Z.ai
$27 Vol.
11%
MiniMax
$32 Vol.
9%
ByteDance
$80 Vol.
7%
Microsoft
$207 Vol.
6%
Baidu
$32 Vol.
6%
Xiaomi
$32 Vol.
6%
DeepSeek
$27 Vol.
6%
Meituan
$266 Vol.
6%
Amazon
$161 Vol.
6%
Anthropic
$62 Vol.
5%
Meta
$32 Vol.
5%
StepFun
$110 Vol.
5%
OpenAI
$22 Vol.
5%
Tencent
$142 Vol.
4%
Moonshot
$32 Vol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$27 Vol.
4%
Nvidia
$176 Vol.
2%
Mistral
$93 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Intense competition among frontier labs in math reasoning benchmarks drives the closely matched trader sentiment, with Google and Alibaba each implied at 27% for second place behind a presumed leader. Chinese labs including Z.ai, Moonshot, and DeepSeek have released models showing strong results on MATH, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, often at lower cost, narrowing gaps with U.S. counterparts. Recent Gemini updates and ongoing Chinese model iterations sustain momentum for these players, while OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta sit lower amid slower relative gains in verified math capabilities. High uncertainty across dozens of options reflects rapid release cycles, benchmark volatility, and potential late-October breakthroughs before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Volumen
$1,785Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Intense competition among frontier labs in math reasoning benchmarks drives the closely matched trader sentiment, with Google and Alibaba each implied at 27% for second place behind a presumed leader. Chinese labs including Z.ai, Moonshot, and DeepSeek have released models showing strong results on MATH, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, often at lower cost, narrowing gaps with U.S. counterparts. Recent Gemini updates and ongoing Chinese model iterations sustain momentum for these players, while OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta sit lower amid slower relative gains in verified math capabilities. High uncertainty across dozens of options reflects rapid release cycles, benchmark volatility, and potential late-October breakthroughs before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$1,785Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Intense competition among frontier labs in math reasoning benchmarks drives the closely matched trader sentiment, with Google and Alibaba each implied at 27% for second place behind a presumed leader. Chinese labs including Z.ai, Moonshot, and DeepSeek have released models showing strong results on MATH, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, often at lower cost, narrowing gaps with U.S. counterparts. Recent Gemini updates and ongoing Chinese model iterations sustain momentum for these players, while OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta sit lower amid slower relative gains in verified math capabilities. High uncertainty across dozens of options reflects rapid release cycles, benchmark volatility, and potential late-October breakthroughs before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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