Close competition among frontier AI labs drives the evenly matched probabilities around 50% for multiple contenders in the Text Arena math category. Recent benchmarks such as ArXivMath and FrontierMath show GPT-5.2, Gemini-3-Pro, and Claude variants clustered within a few percentage points on research-level problems, while Chinese models from Alibaba and DeepSeek have repeatedly traded top spots. This convergence, combined with rapid iteration cycles and the absence of a clear third-place leader, leaves traders focused on upcoming model releases, developer conference demos, and any new math-specific evaluations before October 31. Uncertainty around capability jumps or training data advantages keeps sentiment fluid.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿El tercer mejor Text Arena Math AI Lab a finales de octubre?
¿El tercer mejor Text Arena Math AI Lab a finales de octubre?
Microsoft 32%
Google 22%
Alibaba 21%
Moonshot 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 oct 2026
Microsoft
32%
22%
Alibaba
21%
Moonshot
14%
OpenAI
14%
Meta
11%
Baidu
10%
Z.ai
8%
Anthropic
7%
Meituan
6%
Bytedance
6%
Mistral
6%
Nvidia
4%
MiniMax
4%
Xiaomi
1%
StepFun
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
Tencent
1%
Microsoft 32%
Google 22%
Alibaba 21%
Moonshot 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 oct 2026
Microsoft
$143 Vol.
32%
$96 Vol.
22%
Alibaba
$145 Vol.
21%
Moonshot
$130 Vol.
14%
OpenAI
$259 Vol.
14%
Meta
$120 Vol.
11%
Baidu
$150 Vol.
10%
Z.ai
$180 Vol.
8%
Anthropic
$120 Vol.
7%
Meituan
$347 Vol.
6%
Bytedance
$222 Vol.
6%
Mistral
$229 Vol.
6%
Nvidia
$188 Vol.
4%
MiniMax
$226 Vol.
4%
Xiaomi
$120 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$111 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$115 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$105 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$104 Vol.
1%
Tencent
$105 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Close competition among frontier AI labs drives the evenly matched probabilities around 50% for multiple contenders in the Text Arena math category. Recent benchmarks such as ArXivMath and FrontierMath show GPT-5.2, Gemini-3-Pro, and Claude variants clustered within a few percentage points on research-level problems, while Chinese models from Alibaba and DeepSeek have repeatedly traded top spots. This convergence, combined with rapid iteration cycles and the absence of a clear third-place leader, leaves traders focused on upcoming model releases, developer conference demos, and any new math-specific evaluations before October 31. Uncertainty around capability jumps or training data advantages keeps sentiment fluid.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Volumen
$3,215Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Close competition among frontier AI labs drives the evenly matched probabilities around 50% for multiple contenders in the Text Arena math category. Recent benchmarks such as ArXivMath and FrontierMath show GPT-5.2, Gemini-3-Pro, and Claude variants clustered within a few percentage points on research-level problems, while Chinese models from Alibaba and DeepSeek have repeatedly traded top spots. This convergence, combined with rapid iteration cycles and the absence of a clear third-place leader, leaves traders focused on upcoming model releases, developer conference demos, and any new math-specific evaluations before October 31. Uncertainty around capability jumps or training data advantages keeps sentiment fluid.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$3,215Fecha de finalización
31 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close competition among frontier AI labs drives the evenly matched probabilities around 50% for multiple contenders in the Text Arena math category. Recent benchmarks such as ArXivMath and FrontierMath show GPT-5.2, Gemini-3-Pro, and Claude variants clustered within a few percentage points on research-level problems, while Chinese models from Alibaba and DeepSeek have repeatedly traded top spots. This convergence, combined with rapid iteration cycles and the absence of a clear third-place leader, leaves traders focused on upcoming model releases, developer conference demos, and any new math-specific evaluations before October 31. Uncertainty around capability jumps or training data advantages keeps sentiment fluid.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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