Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for #3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?

#3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?

icon for #3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?

#3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?

Vinted 22%

Muse 10%

ChatGPT 4.5%

Google Gemini 3.0%

Polymarket

$14,265 Vol.

Vinted 22%

Muse 10%

ChatGPT 4.5%

Google Gemini 3.0%

Polymarket

$14,265 Vol.

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$5,775 Vol.

22%

icon for Muse

Muse

$1,673 Vol.

10%

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$1,452 Vol.

5%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$2,404 Vol.

3%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$1,870 Vol.

3%

icon for Polymarket

Polymarket

$631 Vol.

1%

icon for Google Maps

Google Maps

$461 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Vinted holds the strongest market-implied odds for the #3 free spot amid intense daily volatility in the US App Store rankings. Its position reflects surging downloads in the shopping category driven by the secondhand fashion boom, where sellers pay no fees and users engage heavily with peer-to-peer listings. This edges out productivity-focused competitors like Muse from Meta, which benefits from AI chatbot features and Meta's ecosystem integration, and OpenAI's ChatGPT, whose top ranking stems from consistent large language model usage. Google Gemini and TikTok Pro trail with lower implied probabilities due to narrower capability demonstrations and entertainment-focused engagement patterns. Traders price in rapid shifts from algorithm updates, promotional spikes, or user migration between AI assistants and resale platforms, with resolution hinging on precise download velocity on the target date.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$14,265
Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Vinted holds the strongest market-implied odds for the #3 free spot amid intense daily volatility in the US App Store rankings. Its position reflects surging downloads in the shopping category driven by the secondhand fashion boom, where sellers pay no fees and users engage heavily with peer-to-peer listings. This edges out productivity-focused competitors like Muse from Meta, which benefits from AI chatbot features and Meta's ecosystem integration, and OpenAI's ChatGPT, whose top ranking stems from consistent large language model usage. Google Gemini and TikTok Pro trail with lower implied probabilities due to narrower capability demonstrations and entertainment-focused engagement patterns. Traders price in rapid shifts from algorithm updates, promotional spikes, or user migration between AI assistants and resale platforms, with resolution hinging on precise download velocity on the target date.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #3 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Volumen
$14,265
Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 15, 2026, 11:44 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"#3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Vinted" con 22%, seguido de "Muse" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 22¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "#3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?" ha generado $14.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Sep 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "#3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "#3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?" es "Vinted" con 22%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Muse" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "#3 ¿Aplicación gratuita en la Apple App Store de EE. UU. el 18 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.