Recent benchmark leadership in agentic tasks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld-Verified, and BrowseComp remains fragmented, with Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6/GPT-6 series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and DeepSeek models trading top spots across coding, browsing, and multi-step workflows. This fluidity, combined with strong revenue traction at Cognition (Devin) and Sierra alongside rapid open-weight progress from Z.ai, Alibaba Qwen, and Moonshot, sustains broad trader uncertainty over which lab will rank third by late November. Differentiators include demonstrated long-horizon reliability, enterprise deployment scale, and post-training optimizations for tool use rather than raw model size. Upcoming model releases and benchmark updates through October could quickly shift the crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMoonshot 28%
Meta 22%
Alibaba 22%
Google 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
Moonshot
28%
Meta
22%
Alibaba
22%
22%
Xiaomi
22%
MiniMax
21%
Mistral
21%
Nvidia
20%
SpaceXAI
17%
Anthropic
15%
OpenAI
15%
Tencent
14%
Z.ai
13%
Microsoft
13%
DeepSeek
12%
ByteDance
12%
Amazon
12%
Meituan
11%
Baidu
11%
Moonshot 28%
Meta 22%
Alibaba 22%
Google 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
Moonshot
$20 Vol.
28%
Meta
$0 Vol.
22%
Alibaba
$0 Vol.
22%
$0 Vol.
22%
Xiaomi
$0 Vol.
22%
MiniMax
$0 Vol.
21%
Mistral
$0 Vol.
21%
Nvidia
$0 Vol.
20%
SpaceXAI
$20 Vol.
17%
Anthropic
$0 Vol.
15%
OpenAI
$0 Vol.
15%
Tencent
$0 Vol.
14%
Z.ai
$0 Vol.
13%
Microsoft
$0 Vol.
13%
DeepSeek
$0 Vol.
12%
ByteDance
$0 Vol.
12%
Amazon
$0 Vol.
12%
Meituan
$0 Vol.
11%
Baidu
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent benchmark leadership in agentic tasks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld-Verified, and BrowseComp remains fragmented, with Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6/GPT-6 series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and DeepSeek models trading top spots across coding, browsing, and multi-step workflows. This fluidity, combined with strong revenue traction at Cognition (Devin) and Sierra alongside rapid open-weight progress from Z.ai, Alibaba Qwen, and Moonshot, sustains broad trader uncertainty over which lab will rank third by late November. Differentiators include demonstrated long-horizon reliability, enterprise deployment scale, and post-training optimizations for tool use rather than raw model size. Upcoming model releases and benchmark updates through October could quickly shift the crowded field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent benchmark leadership in agentic tasks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld-Verified, and BrowseComp remains fragmented, with Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6/GPT-6 series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and DeepSeek models trading top spots across coding, browsing, and multi-step workflows. This fluidity, combined with strong revenue traction at Cognition (Devin) and Sierra alongside rapid open-weight progress from Z.ai, Alibaba Qwen, and Moonshot, sustains broad trader uncertainty over which lab will rank third by late November. Differentiators include demonstrated long-horizon reliability, enterprise deployment scale, and post-training optimizations for tool use rather than raw model size. Upcoming model releases and benchmark updates through October could quickly shift the crowded field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$20Fecha de finalización
1 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark leadership in agentic tasks such as Terminal-Bench, OSWorld-Verified, and BrowseComp remains fragmented, with Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview, OpenAI’s GPT-5.6/GPT-6 series, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5, and DeepSeek models trading top spots across coding, browsing, and multi-step workflows. This fluidity, combined with strong revenue traction at Cognition (Devin) and Sierra alongside rapid open-weight progress from Z.ai, Alibaba Qwen, and Moonshot, sustains broad trader uncertainty over which lab will rank third by late November. Differentiators include demonstrated long-horizon reliability, enterprise deployment scale, and post-training optimizations for tool use rather than raw model size. Upcoming model releases and benchmark updates through October could quickly shift the crowded field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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