Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward a ceasefire and potential Strait of Hormuz reopening has triggered sharp selloffs in WTI futures, with July 2026 contracts trading near $80-85 per barrel as of June 15 amid hopes of restored Middle East flows. This follows months of supply disruptions exceeding 11 million barrels per day, record OECD inventory draws, and elevated Brent benchmarks above $100 earlier in the period. Trader sentiment now balances expectations of near-term tightness against anticipated supply normalization later in 2026, with EIA data releases, weekly inventory reports, and negotiation updates as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for end-of-June settlement levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
¿Petróleo crudo (CL) por encima de ___ a finales de junio?
$139,290 Vol.
30 jun 2026
$90
12%
$85
21%
$80
35%
$75
82%
$70
94%
$65
95%
$63
97%
$60
98%
$56
99%
$55
98%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$139,290 Vol.
$90
$27,574 Vol.
12%
$85
$8,019 Vol.
21%
$80
$6,834 Vol.
35%
$75
$17,312 Vol.
82%
$70
$20,422 Vol.
94%
$65
$972 Vol.
95%
$63
$9,401 Vol.
97%
$60
$24,317 Vol.
98%
$56
$5,174 Vol.
99%
$55
$3,751 Vol.
98%
$52
$6,410 Vol.
99%
$50
$9,104 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward a ceasefire and potential Strait of Hormuz reopening has triggered sharp selloffs in WTI futures, with July 2026 contracts trading near $80-85 per barrel as of June 15 amid hopes of restored Middle East flows. This follows months of supply disruptions exceeding 11 million barrels per day, record OECD inventory draws, and elevated Brent benchmarks above $100 earlier in the period. Trader sentiment now balances expectations of near-term tightness against anticipated supply normalization later in 2026, with EIA data releases, weekly inventory reports, and negotiation updates as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for end-of-June settlement levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volumen
$139,290Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward a ceasefire and potential Strait of Hormuz reopening has triggered sharp selloffs in WTI futures, with July 2026 contracts trading near $80-85 per barrel as of June 15 amid hopes of restored Middle East flows. This follows months of supply disruptions exceeding 11 million barrels per day, record OECD inventory draws, and elevated Brent benchmarks above $100 earlier in the period. Trader sentiment now balances expectations of near-term tightness against anticipated supply normalization later in 2026, with EIA data releases, weekly inventory reports, and negotiation updates as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for end-of-June settlement levels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Volumen
$139,290Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress toward a ceasefire and potential Strait of Hormuz reopening has triggered sharp selloffs in WTI futures, with July 2026 contracts trading near $80-85 per barrel as of June 15 amid hopes of restored Middle East flows. This follows months of supply disruptions exceeding 11 million barrels per day, record OECD inventory draws, and elevated Brent benchmarks above $100 earlier in the period. Trader sentiment now balances expectations of near-term tightness against anticipated supply normalization later in 2026, with EIA data releases, weekly inventory reports, and negotiation updates as key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities for end-of-June settlement levels.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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