Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June 2026 futures settling above $84 per barrel, driven by persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions disrupting Gulf crude flows and elevating supply risk premiums, with June contracts trading near $94.88/bbl amid backwardation signaling tight near-term supply. Recent Q1 2026 price surges followed military escalations, per EIA data, though Friday's 1.5% drop to $94.40 reflected de-escalation hopes from reported US-Iran peace talks via Pakistan envoys. Elevated US crude inventories at 465.7 million barrels (3% above five-year average) cap upside, but OPEC+ output restraint and conflict uncertainties sustain bullish positioning, with next EIA weekly report and OPEC monthly review as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
¿En qué se asentará el petróleo crudo (CL) en junio?
>$84 60%
$77-$84 18%
$70-$77 11.3%
$63-$70 5.5%
$142,831 Vol.
$142,831 Vol.
< $42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
11%
$77-$84
18%
>$84
60%
>$84 60%
$77-$84 18%
$70-$77 11.3%
$63-$70 5.5%
$142,831 Vol.
$142,831 Vol.
< $42
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
2%
$56-$63
3%
$63-$70
5%
$70-$77
11%
$77-$84
18%
>$84
60%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 60% implied probability for WTI Crude Oil (CL) June 2026 futures settling above $84 per barrel, driven by persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions disrupting Gulf crude flows and elevating supply risk premiums, with June contracts trading near $94.88/bbl amid backwardation signaling tight near-term supply. Recent Q1 2026 price surges followed military escalations, per EIA data, though Friday's 1.5% drop to $94.40 reflected de-escalation hopes from reported US-Iran peace talks via Pakistan envoys. Elevated US crude inventories at 465.7 million barrels (3% above five-year average) cap upside, but OPEC+ output restraint and conflict uncertainties sustain bullish positioning, with next EIA weekly report and OPEC monthly review as key catalysts ahead of June settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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