Recent trading in gold futures has centered near $4,100–$4,300 per ounce amid a pullback from earlier 2026 highs above $5,000, driven by moderating central bank purchases, shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations, and fluctuating geopolitical risk premia. These factors have concentrated market-implied odds on the $3,800–$4,600 settlement range for the June contract, with the two leading bins nearly balanced as traders weigh persistent safe-haven demand against potential USD strength or policy easing. Inflation trajectories and Treasury yields continue to influence positioning, while upcoming economic releases and any FOMC communications could alter the narrow gap between the top outcomes before settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
$4,200-$4,600 48.4%
$3,800-$4,200 39.1%
<$3,800 9.3%
$4,600-$5,000 8%
$1,040,288 Vol.
$1,040,288 Vol.
<$3,800
9%
$3,800-$4,200
39%
$4,200-$4,600
48%
$4,600-$5,000
8%
$5,000-$5,400
1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5,800-$6,200
<1%
>$6,200
1%
$4,200-$4,600 48.4%
$3,800-$4,200 39.1%
<$3,800 9.3%
$4,600-$5,000 8%
$1,040,288 Vol.
$1,040,288 Vol.
<$3,800
9%
$3,800-$4,200
39%
$4,200-$4,600
48%
$4,600-$5,000
8%
$5,000-$5,400
1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5,800-$6,200
<1%
>$6,200
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent trading in gold futures has centered near $4,100–$4,300 per ounce amid a pullback from earlier 2026 highs above $5,000, driven by moderating central bank purchases, shifting Federal Reserve rate expectations, and fluctuating geopolitical risk premia. These factors have concentrated market-implied odds on the $3,800–$4,600 settlement range for the June contract, with the two leading bins nearly balanced as traders weigh persistent safe-haven demand against potential USD strength or policy easing. Inflation trajectories and Treasury yields continue to influence positioning, while upcoming economic releases and any FOMC communications could alter the narrow gap between the top outcomes before settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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