Trader consensus on Polymarket prices gold's June COMEX (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.5%, reflecting heightened uncertainty amid geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation. Spot gold holds near $4,708 per ounce after rebounding from March's 10-14% plunge, buoyed by safe-haven demand from U.S.-Iran frictions inflating energy costs—March CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year, softer than feared yet signaling persistent pressures. Fed's steady 3.5-3.75% funds rate and robust central bank buying (60 tonnes monthly) support elevated levels, but a firmer U.S. dollar caps upside. Key swing factors include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals and potential de-escalation in Middle East risks ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
¿En qué se liquidará el oro (GC) en junio?
$4,600-$5,000 26%
$4,200-$4,600 20.5%
$5,000-$5,400 17.5%
$3,800-$4,200 11.9%
$907,212 Vol.
$907,212 Vol.
<$3,800
5%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4,200-$4,600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
26%
$5,000-$5,400
18%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6,200
4%
$4,600-$5,000 26%
$4,200-$4,600 20.5%
$5,000-$5,400 17.5%
$3,800-$4,200 11.9%
$907,212 Vol.
$907,212 Vol.
<$3,800
5%
$3,800-$4,200
12%
$4,200-$4,600
21%
$4,600-$5,000
26%
$5,000-$5,400
18%
$5,400-$5,800
11%
$5,800-$6,200
6%
>$6,200
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado abierto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices gold's June COMEX (GC) settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 25.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of $4,200-$4,600 at 20.5%, reflecting heightened uncertainty amid geopolitical tensions and sticky inflation. Spot gold holds near $4,708 per ounce after rebounding from March's 10-14% plunge, buoyed by safe-haven demand from U.S.-Iran frictions inflating energy costs—March CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year, softer than feared yet signaling persistent pressures. Fed's steady 3.5-3.75% funds rate and robust central bank buying (60 tonnes monthly) support elevated levels, but a firmer U.S. dollar caps upside. Key swing factors include the April 28-29 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals and potential de-escalation in Middle East risks ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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