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icon for ¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?

Sí

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$328,219 Vol.

Sí

<1% probabilidad
Polymarket

$328,219 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 90.5% reflects the CDC's low-risk assessment for the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak centered in remote DRC and Uganda regions, combined with rigorous U.S. entry screening and quarantine protocols that have prevented any imported cases as of mid-June 2026.** No confirmed Ebola cases linked to the outbreak have reached the United States despite hundreds of African infections, aided by enhanced airport monitoring at designated ports of entry, contact tracing, and policies directing exposed Americans to overseas facilities rather than domestic return. The virus requires direct contact with infectious bodily fluids, features a 2–21-day incubation period, and exhibits limited airborne transmission, making undetected community introduction improbable within the narrow 12-day window to June 30. Realistic challenges include a symptomatic traveler evading screening or an undetected exported case, though current epidemiological data and public-health infrastructure make such scenarios unlikely before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$328,219
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Trader consensus favoring "No" at 90.5% reflects the CDC's low-risk assessment for the Bundibugyo ebolavirus outbreak centered in remote DRC and Uganda regions, combined with rigorous U.S. entry screening and quarantine protocols that have prevented any imported cases as of mid-June 2026.** No confirmed Ebola cases linked to the outbreak have reached the United States despite hundreds of African infections, aided by enhanced airport monitoring at designated ports of entry, contact tracing, and policies directing exposed Americans to overseas facilities rather than domestic return. The virus requires direct contact with infectious bodily fluids, features a 2–21-day incubation period, and exhibits limited airborne transmission, making undetected community introduction improbable within the narrow 12-day window to June 30. Realistic challenges include a symptomatic traveler evading screening or an undetected exported case, though current epidemiological data and public-health infrastructure make such scenarios unlikely before resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Volumen
$328,219
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

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73%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Habrá algún caso de Ébola en EE. UU. para el 30 de junio?" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 0¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" ha generado $328.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 15, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" es "¿Habrá algún caso de Ébola en EE. UU. para el 30 de junio?" con solo 0%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Caso de ébola en EE. UU. antes del 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.