Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 18 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 18 de julio?
21°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$218,330 Vol.
$218,330 Vol.
18 jul 2026
20°C o menos
No
21°C
Sí
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
21°C 100.0%
20°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$218,330 Vol.
$218,330 Vol.
18 jul 2026
20°C o menos
$19,697 Vol.
No
21°C
$45,240 Vol.
Sí
22°C
$36,248 Vol.
No
23°C
$32,061 Vol.
No
24°C
$26,937 Vol.
No
25°C
$19,105 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,864 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,755 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,629 Vol.
No
29°C
$7,580 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$215 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$218,330Fecha de finalización
18 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$218,330Fecha de finalización
18 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 16, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF place London's July 18 maximum near 23–26 °C, with 24 °C holding the highest implied probability as models converge on modest Atlantic-driven cooling after earlier July warmth. Key differentiating factors include the timing of a weak frontal passage, variable cloud cover that limits solar heating, and boundary-layer moisture affecting the afternoon peak. Small shifts in low-level wind direction or clearance of stratiform cloud can swing the daily high by 1–2 °C, explaining the tight clustering around 24–26 °C while lower and higher outcomes remain marginal. Updated model runs and Met Office guidance on July 17 will further refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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