Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began with opening statements on April 21, 2026, pitting prosecutors' claims of Hollywood power abuse against defense arguments of consensual encounters evidenced by text messages. No Prison Time at 35.7% slightly edges 20-30 years at 31.5%, driven by his history of a 2020 conviction overturned on appeal, a 2025 mistrial on the key 2013 rape charge involving Jessica Mann, and his age (74) plus health woes prompting hospital stays over Rikers. The unserved 16-year Los Angeles sentence looms, but appeals, jury volatility, and potential releases create a tight race; verdict expected in 3-5 weeks could swing markets decisively.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
¿Tiempo en prisión de Harvey Weinstein?
Sin tiempo en prisión 35.4%
20-30 años 31.5%
10-20 años 13.1%
Más de 30 años 7.9%
$874,763 Vol.
$874,763 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
35%
<5 años
4%
5-10 años
4%
10-20 años
13%
20-30 años
32%
Más de 30 años
8%
Sin tiempo en prisión 35.4%
20-30 años 31.5%
10-20 años 13.1%
Más de 30 años 7.9%
$874,763 Vol.
$874,763 Vol.
31 dic 2025
Sin tiempo en prisión
$322,566 Vol.
35%
<5 años
$107,854 Vol.
4%
5-10 años
$60,921 Vol.
4%
10-20 años
$142,702 Vol.
13%
20-30 años
$182,150 Vol.
32%
Más de 30 años
$58,571 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began with opening statements on April 21, 2026, pitting prosecutors' claims of Hollywood power abuse against defense arguments of consensual encounters evidenced by text messages. No Prison Time at 35.7% slightly edges 20-30 years at 31.5%, driven by his history of a 2020 conviction overturned on appeal, a 2025 mistrial on the key 2013 rape charge involving Jessica Mann, and his age (74) plus health woes prompting hospital stays over Rikers. The unserved 16-year Los Angeles sentence looms, but appeals, jury volatility, and potential releases create a tight race; verdict expected in 3-5 weeks could swing markets decisively.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET
Volumen
$874,763Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began with opening statements on April 21, 2026, pitting prosecutors' claims of Hollywood power abuse against defense arguments of consensual encounters evidenced by text messages. No Prison Time at 35.7% slightly edges 20-30 years at 31.5%, driven by his history of a 2020 conviction overturned on appeal, a 2025 mistrial on the key 2013 rape charge involving Jessica Mann, and his age (74) plus health woes prompting hospital stays over Rikers. The unserved 16-year Los Angeles sentence looms, but appeals, jury volatility, and potential releases create a tight race; verdict expected in 3-5 weeks could swing markets decisively.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$874,763Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2025Mercado abierto
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Harvey Weinstein's total prison time reflects deep uncertainty from his ongoing third New York rape retrial, which began with opening statements on April 21, 2026, pitting prosecutors' claims of Hollywood power abuse against defense arguments of consensual encounters evidenced by text messages. No Prison Time at 35.7% slightly edges 20-30 years at 31.5%, driven by his history of a 2020 conviction overturned on appeal, a 2025 mistrial on the key 2013 rape charge involving Jessica Mann, and his age (74) plus health woes prompting hospital stays over Rikers. The unserved 16-year Los Angeles sentence looms, but appeals, jury volatility, and potential releases create a tight race; verdict expected in 3-5 weeks could swing markets decisively.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes