Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 12 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 12 de julio?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,238 Vol.
$31,238 Vol.
12 jul 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$31,238 Vol.
$31,238 Vol.
12 jul 2026
27°C or below
$496 Vol.
No
28°C
$839 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,748 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,905 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,205 Vol.
No
32°C
$5,867 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$5,670 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,159 Vol.
No
35°C
$643 Vol.
No
36°C
$311 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$393 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$31,238Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$31,238Fecha de finalización
12 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Latest short-range model consensus from global systems such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 12 maximum in the 30–32 °C range, with subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and insolation under the prevailing high-pressure ridge over the Anatolian plateau driving the spread. Clear skies and light winds favor the higher end near 32–33 °C, while any increase in low-level moisture or thin cloud cover from the Black Sea could cap readings at 29–30 °C. With only two days to the event, ensemble spread remains modest yet sufficient to keep the market bunched across 29–33 °C; traders are watching the next 12–24 h model cycles and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance for final adjustments before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes