Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-89°F (32%) as the highest temperature at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on April 16, closely trailed by 86-87°F (24%) and 90-91°F (18%), reflecting tight model spread amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. National Weather Service guidance projects highs near 84-87°F under partly cloudy skies with low 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, influenced by lingering effects from recent severe storms that cooled April 14 to a max of 72°F while today's conditions reached 87°F amid mostly cloudy cover. Differentiating factors include GFS model runs showing stronger upper-level ridge subsidence and better diurnal heating for 88-90°F potential, versus cooler ECMWF ensemble hints of persistent mid-level clouds capping temps at 86°F; historical mid-April averages hover at 81°F, with records up to 95°F. New 12z model updates and NWS hourly forecasts this afternoon will refine boundary layer mixing and insolation impacts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 16?
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 21%
84-85°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
15%
86-87°F
25%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
21%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 34%
86-87°F 25%
90-91°F 21%
84-85°F 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 abr 2026
79°F or below
$1,355 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$153 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$12 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$84 Vol.
15%
86-87°F
$30 Vol.
25%
88-89°F
$106 Vol.
34%
90-91°F
$124 Vol.
21%
92-93°F
$40 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$50 Vol.
4%
96-97°F
$13 Vol.
3%
98°F or higher
$126 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-89°F (32%) as the highest temperature at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on April 16, closely trailed by 86-87°F (24%) and 90-91°F (18%), reflecting tight model spread amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. National Weather Service guidance projects highs near 84-87°F under partly cloudy skies with low 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, influenced by lingering effects from recent severe storms that cooled April 14 to a max of 72°F while today's conditions reached 87°F amid mostly cloudy cover. Differentiating factors include GFS model runs showing stronger upper-level ridge subsidence and better diurnal heating for 88-90°F potential, versus cooler ECMWF ensemble hints of persistent mid-level clouds capping temps at 86°F; historical mid-April averages hover at 81°F, with records up to 95°F. New 12z model updates and NWS hourly forecasts this afternoon will refine boundary layer mixing and insolation impacts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volumen
$2,004Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-89°F (32%) as the highest temperature at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on April 16, closely trailed by 86-87°F (24%) and 90-91°F (18%), reflecting tight model spread amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. National Weather Service guidance projects highs near 84-87°F under partly cloudy skies with low 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, influenced by lingering effects from recent severe storms that cooled April 14 to a max of 72°F while today's conditions reached 87°F amid mostly cloudy cover. Differentiating factors include GFS model runs showing stronger upper-level ridge subsidence and better diurnal heating for 88-90°F potential, versus cooler ECMWF ensemble hints of persistent mid-level clouds capping temps at 86°F; historical mid-April averages hover at 81°F, with records up to 95°F. New 12z model updates and NWS hourly forecasts this afternoon will refine boundary layer mixing and insolation impacts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,004Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 88-89°F (32%) as the highest temperature at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on April 16, closely trailed by 86-87°F (24%) and 90-91°F (18%), reflecting tight model spread amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. National Weather Service guidance projects highs near 84-87°F under partly cloudy skies with low 20-30% chance of afternoon showers or thunderstorms, influenced by lingering effects from recent severe storms that cooled April 14 to a max of 72°F while today's conditions reached 87°F amid mostly cloudy cover. Differentiating factors include GFS model runs showing stronger upper-level ridge subsidence and better diurnal heating for 88-90°F potential, versus cooler ECMWF ensemble hints of persistent mid-level clouds capping temps at 86°F; historical mid-April averages hover at 81°F, with records up to 95°F. New 12z model updates and NWS hourly forecasts this afternoon will refine boundary layer mixing and insolation impacts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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