Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Beijing's mid-spring weather patterns, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 21-24°C for April 19, driven by variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments, including a dust event and spring showers on April 16-17 that capped highs near 20°C despite averages climbing to 22°C this time of year, have compressed odds toward these milder outcomes, down from earlier warmer projections. Key differentiators include potential frontal passages boosting or suppressing convective heating, with urban heat island effects at Beijing Capital International Airport adding 1-2°C variability. New China Meteorological Administration updates and model refreshes expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 19?
23°C 20%
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
24°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
19°C or below
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
19%
22°C
18%
23°C
20%
24°C
16%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 20%
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
24°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
19°C or below
$523 Vol.
7%
20°C
$444 Vol.
9%
21°C
$217 Vol.
19%
22°C
$211 Vol.
18%
23°C
$213 Vol.
20%
24°C
$268 Vol.
16%
25°C
$230 Vol.
9%
26°C
$754 Vol.
3%
27°C
$627 Vol.
2%
28°C
$751 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$819 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Beijing's mid-spring weather patterns, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 21-24°C for April 19, driven by variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments, including a dust event and spring showers on April 16-17 that capped highs near 20°C despite averages climbing to 22°C this time of year, have compressed odds toward these milder outcomes, down from earlier warmer projections. Key differentiators include potential frontal passages boosting or suppressing convective heating, with urban heat island effects at Beijing Capital International Airport adding 1-2°C variability. New China Meteorological Administration updates and model refreshes expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$5,057Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Beijing's mid-spring weather patterns, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 21-24°C for April 19, driven by variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments, including a dust event and spring showers on April 16-17 that capped highs near 20°C despite averages climbing to 22°C this time of year, have compressed odds toward these milder outcomes, down from earlier warmer projections. Key differentiators include potential frontal passages boosting or suppressing convective heating, with urban heat island effects at Beijing Capital International Airport adding 1-2°C variability. New China Meteorological Administration updates and model refreshes expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,057Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in Beijing's mid-spring weather patterns, with GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts showing a tight spread of maximum temperatures around 21-24°C for April 19, driven by variable southerly winds and partial cloud cover limiting insolation. Recent developments, including a dust event and spring showers on April 16-17 that capped highs near 20°C despite averages climbing to 22°C this time of year, have compressed odds toward these milder outcomes, down from earlier warmer projections. Key differentiators include potential frontal passages boosting or suppressing convective heating, with urban heat island effects at Beijing Capital International Airport adding 1-2°C variability. New China Meteorological Administration updates and model refreshes expected within 24 hours could sharpen the outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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