Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 15 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 15 de julio?
27°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$22,101 Vol.
$22,101 Vol.
15 jul 2026
21°C o menos
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Sí
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C o más
No
27°C 100.0%
21°C o menos <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$22,101 Vol.
$22,101 Vol.
15 jul 2026
21°C o menos
$521 Vol.
No
22°C
$604 Vol.
No
23°C
$748 Vol.
No
24°C
$914 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,669 Vol.
No
26°C
$3,963 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,419 Vol.
Sí
28°C
$3,287 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,763 Vol.
No
30°C
$512 Vol.
No
31°C o más
$701 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$22,101Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$22,101Fecha de finalización
15 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Tokyo's July 15 overnight low sits near typical midsummer values, with Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicating mostly cloudy conditions and expected minima around 24–26°C. Persistent humidity, urban heat island effects, and limited radiative cooling under cloud cover support these levels, while sea breezes offer modest moderation. Model consensus from regional guidance shows little day-to-day shift through mid-July, yet small changes in cloud thickness or wind patterns could easily move the recorded minimum across the 23–27°C band. Traders price the tight cluster of outcomes around 26–27°C highest because historical July lows average near 23–25°C, and current data favor slight warmth above that baseline ahead of any final forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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