Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 1 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Seúl (Incheon) el 1 de agosto?
26°C 40%
27°C 33%
24°C 13%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 ago 2026
22°C o menos
4%
23°C
3%
24°C
13%
25°C
13%
26°C
40%
27°C
33%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C o más
1%
26°C 40%
27°C 33%
24°C 13%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
1 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$42 Vol.
4%
23°C
$6 Vol.
3%
24°C
$77 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
13%
26°C
$47 Vol.
40%
27°C
$0 Vol.
33%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$31 Vol.
5%
30°C
$42 Vol.
2%
31°C
$32 Vol.
1%
32°C o más
$51 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$327Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$327Fecha de finalización
1 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and regional models point to an overnight low near 24°C for Incheon on August 1, consistent with climatological averages for early August in the region. Trader emphasis on the 22°C-or-below bin at 42% implied probability likely stems from uncertainty around potential cloud cover, light precipitation, or a passing trough that could enhance radiative cooling or suppress daytime heat buildup. Higher bins around 26–27°C reflect scenarios with clearer skies and stronger subsidence under the prevailing subtropical ridge. With resolution only days away, updates from the Korea Meteorological Administration’s short-range guidance and ensemble model spreads on humidity and wind will be key drivers of any probability shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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