Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 28 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 28 de abril?
21°C 100%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$173,718 Vol.
$173,718 Vol.
28 abr 2026
16°C o menos
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Sí
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C o más
No
21°C 100%
16°C o menos <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$173,718 Vol.
$173,718 Vol.
28 abr 2026
16°C o menos
$2,904 Vol.
No
17°C
$1,665 Vol.
No
18°C
$4,073 Vol.
No
19°C
$9,898 Vol.
No
20°C
$63,903 Vol.
No
21°C
$19,838 Vol.
Sí
22°C
$16,732 Vol.
No
23°C
$12,436 Vol.
No
24°C
$17,821 Vol.
No
25°C
$15,322 Vol.
No
26°C o más
$9,126 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$173,718Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$173,718Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for Beijing's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C on April 28, driven by the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) latest forecast projecting this maximum under persistent cloudy skies and northerly winds, which limit solar heating and convective warming. Current observations from Beijing's meteorological stations align closely, with daytime readings peaking near this threshold amid overcast conditions that have characterized the past week, cooler than the late-April climatological average of around 22°C. Model consensus from regional forecasts reinforces stability, though a realistic challenge could arise from unexpected prolonged clearing in the afternoon, potentially enabling brief spikes to 22°C via enhanced insolation; official end-of-day data from CMA will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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