Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 23?
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 Vol.
$110,223 Vol.
23 jun 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$110,223 Vol.
$110,223 Vol.
23 jun 2026
26°C or below
$25,544 Vol.
No
27°C
$24,519 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$10,665 Vol.
No
29°C
$10,292 Vol.
No
30°C
$12,415 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,108 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,200 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,081 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,458 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,161 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$781 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$110,223Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$110,223Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 21, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent model runs indicate a frontal system and associated moisture could moderate Beijing's peak temperatures on June 23, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C. Key scientific variables include steering patterns from the subtropical high, which may allow cooler northerly flow or increased cloud cover and showers to cap afternoon heating, versus clearer conditions permitting stronger insolation and surface warming. Historical June climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but forecast uncertainty in precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture explains why outcomes from 28°C to 32°C dominate trader positioning ahead of updated NWP guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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