Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 19, with 26°C and 27°C tied at 28.5% implied probabilities, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a 29°C peak amid small rain and timeanddate.com estimates of 25°C under overcast skies with late showers. Recent warmth—April 17 highs nearing 29°C per ongoing observations—has given way to an approaching frontal system introducing cloud cover that could limit insolation and cap daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where spring humidity often tempers extremes. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation timing: earlier clearing favors 27°C, while persistent overcast tips toward 26°C or below. New CMA and global model updates expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via official airport records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 19?
27°C 29%
26°C 27%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
8%
25°C
15%
26°C
27%
27°C
29%
28°C
13%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
1%
27°C 29%
26°C 27%
25°C 15%
28°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
22°C or below
$1,072 Vol.
4%
23°C
$603 Vol.
4%
24°C
$485 Vol.
8%
25°C
$176 Vol.
15%
26°C
$167 Vol.
27%
27°C
$117 Vol.
29%
28°C
$128 Vol.
13%
29°C
$234 Vol.
3%
30°C
$193 Vol.
2%
31°C
$271 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$346 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 19, with 26°C and 27°C tied at 28.5% implied probabilities, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a 29°C peak amid small rain and timeanddate.com estimates of 25°C under overcast skies with late showers. Recent warmth—April 17 highs nearing 29°C per ongoing observations—has given way to an approaching frontal system introducing cloud cover that could limit insolation and cap daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where spring humidity often tempers extremes. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation timing: earlier clearing favors 27°C, while persistent overcast tips toward 26°C or below. New CMA and global model updates expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via official airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volumen
$3,793Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 19, with 26°C and 27°C tied at 28.5% implied probabilities, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a 29°C peak amid small rain and timeanddate.com estimates of 25°C under overcast skies with late showers. Recent warmth—April 17 highs nearing 29°C per ongoing observations—has given way to an approaching frontal system introducing cloud cover that could limit insolation and cap daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where spring humidity often tempers extremes. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation timing: earlier clearing favors 27°C, while persistent overcast tips toward 26°C or below. New CMA and global model updates expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via official airport records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,793Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chengdu's highest temperature on April 19, with 26°C and 27°C tied at 28.5% implied probabilities, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) guidance projecting a 29°C peak amid small rain and timeanddate.com estimates of 25°C under overcast skies with late showers. Recent warmth—April 17 highs nearing 29°C per ongoing observations—has given way to an approaching frontal system introducing cloud cover that could limit insolation and cap daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin, where spring humidity often tempers extremes. Differentiating factors include model spread on precipitation timing: earlier clearing favors 27°C, while persistent overcast tips toward 26°C or below. New CMA and global model updates expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via official airport records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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