Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 16 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 16 de julio?
90-91°F 100.0%
89°F o menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$80,235 Vol.
$80,235 Vol.
16 jul 2026
89°F o menos
No
90-91°F
Sí
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F o más
No
90-91°F 100.0%
89°F o menos <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$80,235 Vol.
$80,235 Vol.
16 jul 2026
89°F o menos
$22,467 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$11,657 Vol.
Sí
92-93°F
$13,098 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$10,507 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$7,773 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$7,617 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$2,524 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$1,691 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$1,325 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,265 Vol.
No
108°F o más
$313 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$80,235Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$80,235Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Current National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on July 16 points to a modest ridge of high pressure supporting daytime highs near the early-July climatological average of 84–85 °F, yet with enough warm-air advection and limited mixing to push readings into the low 90s. This consensus keeps the 90–93 °F bins dominant in trader positioning while the modest spread to 94–95 °F reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and afternoon dew-point trends. Short-range ensembles show limited spread through the 24-hour window, but any late-day seabreeze or convective outflow could trim the peak by 1–2 °F, explaining why probabilities remain closely balanced rather than concentrated on a single bin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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