Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 5 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 5 de julio?
94-95°F 100%
83°F o menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$41,007 Vol.
$41,007 Vol.
5 jul 2026
83°F o menos
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
Sí
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F o más
No
94-95°F 100%
83°F o menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$41,007 Vol.
$41,007 Vol.
5 jul 2026
83°F o menos
$1,823 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$3,414 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$3,844 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$4,101 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$3,934 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$7,048 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$7,586 Vol.
Sí
96-97°F
$3,291 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$2,082 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,564 Vol.
No
102°F o más
$2,319 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$41,007Fecha de finalización
5 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$41,007Fecha de finalización
5 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a high near 90–94°F for Denver on July 5, 2026, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 90–95°F. Key differentiating factors include the strength of an upper-level ridge promoting subsidence and warming, versus the timing and coverage of afternoon convection or patchy smoke that could limit peak insolation and cap temperatures. Ensemble spreads show modest uncertainty from variable low-level moisture and wind shifts, with climatological July averages near 88–93°F providing context for the current setup. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds ahead of market close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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