Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on May 6?
Highest temperature in Denver on May 6?
38-39°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$83,326 Vol.
$83,326 Vol.
6 may 2026
33°F or below
No
34-35°F
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
Yes
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52°F or higher
No
38-39°F 100.0%
33°F or below <1%
34-35°F <1%
36-37°F <1%
$83,326 Vol.
$83,326 Vol.
6 may 2026
33°F or below
$16,323 Vol.
No
34-35°F
$12,947 Vol.
No
36-37°F
$7,127 Vol.
No
38-39°F
$8,077 Vol.
Yes
40-41°F
$8,666 Vol.
No
42-43°F
$5,489 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$7,793 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$4,134 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$4,746 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$4,467 Vol.
No
52°F or higher
$3,558 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
Volumen
$83,326Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$83,326Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 38-39°F at Buckley Space Force Base (KBKF), Denver's official station for this market, confirmed by National Weather Service daily climate reports following an unprecedented late-spring snowstorm on May 5-6. Heavy snowfall—over 5 inches at nearby sites—combined with persistent cloud cover, light snow/mist, and northerly winds from a deep cold air mass suppressed daytime heating, yielding one of May 6's lowest highs near the record low maximum of 35°F set in 1978. Model ensembles like GFS and NAM had anticipated this chill pre-event, with minimal diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution is near-certain barring rare observational revisions by NOAA.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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