Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Helsinki's highest temperature at Vantaa Airport on April 18, with the Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance—updated April 16—projecting a daytime high around 9–12°C amid persistent north-northeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s ushering cooler continental air after Friday's anticipated 16°C peak. Ensemble prediction intervals span -5°C to 15°C, capturing model spread from ECMWF and GFS analogs on cloud cover variability and solar insolation under lengthening spring daylight; minimal precipitation risk (<10%) favors clearer skies that could boost maxima toward 13–14°C if winds lighten. Above mid-April climatological norms of 8–10°C, outcomes hinge on air mass persistence and diurnal heating, with overnight model updates poised to sharpen probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 18?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 18?
12°C 29%
13°C 28%
11°C 26%
14°C or higher 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
2%
9°C
4%
10°C
12%
11°C
26%
12°C
29%
13°C
28%
14°C or higher
15%
12°C 29%
13°C 28%
11°C 26%
14°C or higher 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
4°C or below
$457 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$465 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$501 Vol.
1%
7°C
$400 Vol.
1%
8°C
$94 Vol.
2%
9°C
$143 Vol.
4%
10°C
$84 Vol.
12%
11°C
$83 Vol.
26%
12°C
$92 Vol.
29%
13°C
$129 Vol.
28%
14°C or higher
$67 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Helsinki's highest temperature at Vantaa Airport on April 18, with the Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance—updated April 16—projecting a daytime high around 9–12°C amid persistent north-northeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s ushering cooler continental air after Friday's anticipated 16°C peak. Ensemble prediction intervals span -5°C to 15°C, capturing model spread from ECMWF and GFS analogs on cloud cover variability and solar insolation under lengthening spring daylight; minimal precipitation risk (<10%) favors clearer skies that could boost maxima toward 13–14°C if winds lighten. Above mid-April climatological norms of 8–10°C, outcomes hinge on air mass persistence and diurnal heating, with overnight model updates poised to sharpen probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volumen
$2,428Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Helsinki's highest temperature at Vantaa Airport on April 18, with the Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance—updated April 16—projecting a daytime high around 9–12°C amid persistent north-northeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s ushering cooler continental air after Friday's anticipated 16°C peak. Ensemble prediction intervals span -5°C to 15°C, capturing model spread from ECMWF and GFS analogs on cloud cover variability and solar insolation under lengthening spring daylight; minimal precipitation risk (<10%) favors clearer skies that could boost maxima toward 13–14°C if winds lighten. Above mid-April climatological norms of 8–10°C, outcomes hinge on air mass persistence and diurnal heating, with overnight model updates poised to sharpen probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,428Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Helsinki's highest temperature at Vantaa Airport on April 18, with the Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest guidance—updated April 16—projecting a daytime high around 9–12°C amid persistent north-northeasterly winds of 3–4 m/s ushering cooler continental air after Friday's anticipated 16°C peak. Ensemble prediction intervals span -5°C to 15°C, capturing model spread from ECMWF and GFS analogs on cloud cover variability and solar insolation under lengthening spring daylight; minimal precipitation risk (<10%) favors clearer skies that could boost maxima toward 13–14°C if winds lighten. Above mid-April climatological norms of 8–10°C, outcomes hinge on air mass persistence and diurnal heating, with overnight model updates poised to sharpen probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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