Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 19?
14°C 34%
15°C 19%
13°C 19%
16°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
19%
14°C
34%
15°C
25%
16°C
14%
17°C
10%
18°C
6%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 34%
15°C 19%
13°C 19%
16°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 abr 2026
9°C or below
$342 Vol.
1%
10°C
$290 Vol.
1%
11°C
$600 Vol.
1%
12°C
$402 Vol.
4%
13°C
$149 Vol.
19%
14°C
$108 Vol.
34%
15°C
$212 Vol.
25%
16°C
$237 Vol.
14%
17°C
$94 Vol.
10%
18°C
$128 Vol.
6%
19°C or higher
$213 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$2,777Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,777Fecha de finalización
19 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 17, 2026, 12:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models project a high temperature near 15°C at Istanbul Airport on April 19, fueling trader consensus around 14°C (33.5% implied probability) and 15°C (24.5%), per AccuWeather and Meteoblue guidance showing 59-60°F (15°C) under partly cloudy skies. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover—patchy rain or thicker overcast from a lingering low-pressure system could cap peaks at 13-14°C via reduced insolation, while clearer intervals and southerly flows enable brief spikes to 16°C. Coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects at the NOAA-monitored airport add microscale uncertainty; climatological mid-April highs average 16°C. Watch 00z/12z model updates April 17-18 for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes