Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 4?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 Vol.
$84,714 Vol.
4 may 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$84,714 Vol.
$84,714 Vol.
4 may 2026
28°C or below
$1,609 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,842 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,295 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,459 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,288 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,313 Vol.
No
34°C
$19,351 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$18,749 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,681 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,669 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$3,459 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$84,714Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$84,714Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 34°C (100% implied probability) as Jakarta's highest temperature on May 4, 2026, at Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport, driven by official BMKG observations and hourly readings peaking at exactly 34°C during midday amid mostly cloudy skies. Afternoon scattered showers and high humidity (73–95%), as per BMKG's latest forecast, have suppressed further warming, consistent with May climatology where Jakarta averages 33°C highs under similar tropical conditions influenced by seasonal monsoon onset. International models from NOAA-aligned sources corroborate peaks near 33–34°C (92°F). With evening cooling underway and minimal solar heating left, only an anomalous late microburst of clear skies could push beyond, though official monitoring shows stable trends toward resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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