Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 1?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 Vol.
$50,850 Vol.
1 may 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$50,850 Vol.
$50,850 Vol.
1 may 2026
53°F or below
$123 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$122 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$863 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$479 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,551 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$3,727 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$4,910 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$8,347 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$11,518 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$8,356 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$8,854 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Volumen
$50,850Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,850Fecha de finalización
1 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 12:36 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 68-69°F at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) on May 1, 2026, driven by the National Weather Service's finalized climatological report confirming an observed maximum of 69°F, peaking midday amid partly cloudy skies. This outcome reflects classic "May Gray" conditions—persistent coastal marine layer and onshore west-southwest winds capping 14 mph—which suppressed warming consistent with NOAA model guidance and early May climatological normals of 69°F. While data revisions from quality control are theoretically possible, no discrepancies appear in preliminary Weather Underground archives or hourly observations (e.g., 68°F at 6 PM PDT), solidifying the resolution absent extraordinary measurement errors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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