Recent India Meteorological Department observations for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature of 42.3–42.4°C on May 25 amid pre-monsoon conditions, aligning closely with the seasonal average high near 41°C. This official reading, combined with consistent model guidance showing limited intensification under mostly clear skies and stable steering patterns, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 42°C or below. Historical May maxima in the region rarely exceed this threshold without specific synoptic triggers like delayed monsoon onset. An unexpected late-day surge or revised station data could theoretically shift the outcome, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 25?
42°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$25,215 Vol.
$25,215 Vol.
42°C or below
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C
No
52°C or higher
No
42°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$25,215 Vol.
$25,215 Vol.
42°C or below
Yes
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C
No
52°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 23, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Recent India Meteorological Department observations for Lucknow indicate a maximum temperature of 42.3–42.4°C on May 25 amid pre-monsoon conditions, aligning closely with the seasonal average high near 41°C. This official reading, combined with consistent model guidance showing limited intensification under mostly clear skies and stable steering patterns, underpins the market's near-certain consensus on 42°C or below. Historical May maxima in the region rarely exceed this threshold without specific synoptic triggers like delayed monsoon onset. An unexpected late-day surge or revised station data could theoretically shift the outcome, though current evidence makes such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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