Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on June 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 16?
36°C 100.0%
28°C o menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$32,160 Vol.
$32,160 Vol.
16 jun 2026
28°C o menos
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Sí
37°C
No
38°C o más
No
36°C 100.0%
28°C o menos <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$32,160 Vol.
$32,160 Vol.
16 jun 2026
28°C o menos
$2,162 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,351 Vol.
No
30°C
$911 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,630 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,368 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,161 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,862 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,311 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,157 Vol.
Sí
37°C
$1,868 Vol.
No
38°C o más
$2,380 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$32,160Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,160Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Manila's urban heat island effect and typical June climatology, with average highs near 32°C under the southwest monsoon influence, support the market's near-certain positioning at 36°C. Official PAGASA monitoring and real-time station data have confirmed peak readings at or above this threshold amid partly cloudy skies, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit overnight cooling. Historical records show occasional spikes to 35–36°C during similar easterly flow patterns, aligning with current conditions. The 100% implied probability reflects trader confidence in verified observations rather than models. Only an anomalous revision to official station reports or a shift in measurement criteria could realistically alter the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes