Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, converge on a Paris high temperature of 20-21°C on April 17, fueling the tight race among 20°C (27.5%), 21°C (30.5%), and 22°C (27.5%) outcomes as traders weigh peak heating potential. Following last week's heat wave, a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~16°C), with southerly winds under 5 km/h aiding daytime warmth. Differentiating factors include variable morning sunshine versus afternoon cloudiness—favoring 20°C if overcast, or 22°C under clearer skies—per recent updates showing slight upward revisions amid low precipitation risk (<30%). New 12z model outputs and agency briefings today could sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 17?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 17?
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
22°C 20%
19°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
5%
19°C
14%
20°C
27%
21°C
33%
22°C
22%
23°C
10%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C or higher
2%
21°C 33%
20°C 27%
22°C 20%
19°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 abr 2026
16°C or below
$375 Vol.
1%
17°C
$413 Vol.
3%
18°C
$276 Vol.
5%
19°C
$310 Vol.
14%
20°C
$56 Vol.
27%
21°C
$57 Vol.
33%
22°C
$28 Vol.
22%
23°C
$19 Vol.
10%
24°C
$651 Vol.
3%
25°C
$688 Vol.
2%
26°C or higher
$655 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, converge on a Paris high temperature of 20-21°C on April 17, fueling the tight race among 20°C (27.5%), 21°C (30.5%), and 22°C (27.5%) outcomes as traders weigh peak heating potential. Following last week's heat wave, a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~16°C), with southerly winds under 5 km/h aiding daytime warmth. Differentiating factors include variable morning sunshine versus afternoon cloudiness—favoring 20°C if overcast, or 22°C under clearer skies—per recent updates showing slight upward revisions amid low precipitation risk (<30%). New 12z model outputs and agency briefings today could sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$3,523Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, converge on a Paris high temperature of 20-21°C on April 17, fueling the tight race among 20°C (27.5%), 21°C (30.5%), and 22°C (27.5%) outcomes as traders weigh peak heating potential. Following last week's heat wave, a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~16°C), with southerly winds under 5 km/h aiding daytime warmth. Differentiating factors include variable morning sunshine versus afternoon cloudiness—favoring 20°C if overcast, or 22°C under clearer skies—per recent updates showing slight upward revisions amid low precipitation risk (<30%). New 12z model outputs and agency briefings today could sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,523Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS, alongside Météo-France guidance, converge on a Paris high temperature of 20-21°C on April 17, fueling the tight race among 20°C (27.5%), 21°C (30.5%), and 22°C (27.5%) outcomes as traders weigh peak heating potential. Following last week's heat wave, a persistent high-pressure ridge ushers mild southerly air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~16°C), with southerly winds under 5 km/h aiding daytime warmth. Differentiating factors include variable morning sunshine versus afternoon cloudiness—favoring 20°C if overcast, or 22°C under clearer skies—per recent updates showing slight upward revisions amid low precipitation risk (<30%). New 12z model outputs and agency briefings today could sharpen resolution criteria tied to official Paris-Montsouris observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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