Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 25 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 25 de julio?
29°C 99.8%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,522 Vol.
$23,522 Vol.
25 jul 2026
23°C o menos
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Sí
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C o más
No
29°C 99.8%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$23,522 Vol.
$23,522 Vol.
25 jul 2026
23°C o menos
$415 Vol.
No
24°C
$634 Vol.
No
25°C
$906 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,756 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,654 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,554 Vol.
No
29°C
$9,225 Vol.
Sí
30°C
$915 Vol.
No
31°C
$785 Vol.
No
32°C
$387 Vol.
No
33°C o más
$291 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$23,522Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$23,522Fecha de finalización
25 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus clusters tightly around a 27–29°C minimum for Shanghai on July 25, reflecting model spread in nocturnal cooling under the East Asian summer monsoon. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs show variable cloud cover and scattered showers that limit radiative heat loss after daytime highs near 33–35°C, while humidity above 80% and light winds reduce the typical diurnal range. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration emphasizes uncertainty in timing of any frontal passage or tropical moisture surge, which could drop the overnight low by 1–2°C or hold it near 28°C. Updated model runs and local observations through July 24 will be key for resolving these thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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