Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS projecting a peak near 21°C under overcast but dry conditions. This reflects a mild spring air mass persisting over Île-de-France, with highs building from 20°C on April 16 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, slightly above the seasonal April normal of 16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity potentially capping solar heating at 19–20°C or allowing urban heat to nudge toward 22°C, alongside minor forecast divergences on peak timing in the afternoon. New model updates on April 17 could refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 18?
21°C 28%
20°C 26%
19°C 21%
22°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
9%
19°C
21%
20°C
26%
21°C
28%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
7%
21°C 28%
20°C 26%
19°C 21%
22°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
13°C or below
$1,764 Vol.
1%
14°C
$1,245 Vol.
1%
15°C
$1,170 Vol.
1%
16°C
$754 Vol.
1%
17°C
$752 Vol.
1%
18°C
$670 Vol.
9%
19°C
$306 Vol.
21%
20°C
$351 Vol.
26%
21°C
$292 Vol.
28%
22°C
$229 Vol.
16%
23°C or higher
$584 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS projecting a peak near 21°C under overcast but dry conditions. This reflects a mild spring air mass persisting over Île-de-France, with highs building from 20°C on April 16 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, slightly above the seasonal April normal of 16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity potentially capping solar heating at 19–20°C or allowing urban heat to nudge toward 22°C, alongside minor forecast divergences on peak timing in the afternoon. New model updates on April 17 could refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volumen
$8,073Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS projecting a peak near 21°C under overcast but dry conditions. This reflects a mild spring air mass persisting over Île-de-France, with highs building from 20°C on April 16 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, slightly above the seasonal April normal of 16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity potentially capping solar heating at 19–20°C or allowing urban heat to nudge toward 22°C, alongside minor forecast divergences on peak timing in the afternoon. New model updates on April 17 could refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,073Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 19–22°C for Paris's highest temperature on April 18, driven by Météo-France guidance and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS projecting a peak near 21°C under overcast but dry conditions. This reflects a mild spring air mass persisting over Île-de-France, with highs building from 20°C on April 16 amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, slightly above the seasonal April normal of 16°C. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity potentially capping solar heating at 19–20°C or allowing urban heat to nudge toward 22°C, alongside minor forecast divergences on peak timing in the afternoon. New model updates on April 17 could refine these market-implied odds as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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