Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 25?
40°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$142,819 Vol.
$142,819 Vol.
25 jun 2026
36°C or below
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
36°C or below <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$142,819 Vol.
$142,819 Vol.
25 jun 2026
36°C or below
$17,542 Vol.
No
37°C
$10,021 Vol.
No
38°C
$15,052 Vol.
No
39°C
$21,398 Vol.
No
40°C
$18,833 Vol.
Yes
41°C
$24,062 Vol.
No
42°C
$15,384 Vol.
No
43°C
$12,103 Vol.
No
44°C
$4,280 Vol.
No
45°C
$2,128 Vol.
No
46°C or higher
$2,018 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$142,819Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$142,819Fecha de finalización
25 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 23, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent Météo-France guidance and ensemble models sustain a heatwave over Île-de-France, with Paris maximum temperatures forecast near 40 °C on June 25 under clear skies, light winds, and continued southerly flow. This keeps the 40 °C outcome narrowly ahead in trader pricing, followed closely by 39 °C and 41 °C, reflecting typical 1–2 °C uncertainty ranges in short-range high-resolution models and local urban heat-island effects. Persistent blocking patterns have maintained elevated 850 hPa temperatures and minimal cloud cover, limiting diurnal cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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