Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 16?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 Vol.
$36,195 Vol.
16 jun 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$36,195 Vol.
$36,195 Vol.
16 jun 2026
20°C or below
$1,256 Vol.
No
21°C
$561 Vol.
No
22°C
$504 Vol.
No
23°C
$742 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,197 Vol.
No
25°C
$2,162 Vol.
No
26°C
$4,356 Vol.
No
27°C
$12,226 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$6,712 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,807 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$2,671 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$36,195Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$36,195Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus heavily favors a 27°C maximum in Qingdao on June 16 because multiple forecast model runs, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate a brief ridge of high pressure allowing daytime heating to that exact threshold before marine influence and increasing cloud cover cap further rises. Qingdao’s coastal setting on the Yellow Sea typically moderates June maxima near the long-term average of 23–25 °C, yet recent surface observations and model soundings show sufficient insolation and light southerly flow to reach 27 °C without triggering stronger sea-breeze cooling. The overwhelming 99.9 % implied probability reflects real-money traders incorporating the latest model consensus and timing of peak warmth. A realistic challenge would require either an earlier or stronger onshore wind shift or unexpected convective development that suppresses the daily high below the observed peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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