Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 9?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,520 Vol.
$52,520 Vol.
9 may 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$52,520 Vol.
$52,520 Vol.
9 may 2026
22°C or below
$18,815 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,396 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,806 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,633 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,141 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,075 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$2,439 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,890 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,455 Vol.
No
31°C
$995 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$875 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$52,520Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$52,520Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 27°C in Qingdao on May 9, driven by official observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport station—the market's resolution source via Weather Underground—peaking at 81°F (27°C) around noon local time. Clear skies, low humidity near 18%, and southerly winds gusting to 31 mph advected warm continental air over the Shandong Peninsula, enabling midday highs matching China Meteorological Administration forecasts of 27°C inland versus cooler coastal moderation. With sunset approaching at 6:52 PM and the diurnal cycle shifting temperatures downward, exceeding 27°C is improbable barring an anomalous late-afternoon heat burst, though final daily data awaits confirmation tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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