**National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 6 project a high near 87–90°F under sunny skies with northeast winds and patchy smoke, consistent with the market’s leading 88–89°F outcome at 37.5% implied probability.** Offshore flow has limited marine layer cooling, allowing temperatures to climb above the early-August climatological average of roughly 79°F. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around these values, supporting secondary probability on the 86–87°F and 90–91°F bins. A heat advisory remains in effect through the period, reflecting the broader pattern of above-normal summer temperatures driven by persistent ridging. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will provide the final data influencing resolution.