Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 5 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 5 de agosto?
84-85°F 43%
82-83°F 42%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 7%
NUEVO
$34,675 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,675 Vol.
5 ago 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
42%
84-85°F
43%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 43%
82-83°F 42%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 7%
NUEVO
$34,675 Vol.
NUEVO
$34,675 Vol.
5 ago 2026
71°F or below
$9,455 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$265 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$986 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,464 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$2,812 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$2,670 Vol.
7%
82-83°F
$7,118 Vol.
42%
84-85°F
$3,587 Vol.
43%
86-87°F
$2,491 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$1,118 Vol.
1%
90°F or higher
$1,711 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$34,675Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$34,675Fecha de finalización
5 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent NWS and NOAA model guidance for New York City on August 5 centers the daily maximum near the 83–85°F seasonal Central Park average, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 84–85°F and 82–83°F bins. Moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture, and partial afternoon cloud cover are expected to moderate solar heating, while any convective development or enhanced marine influence could cap readings in the low-to-mid 80s. Model consensus shows modest spread from these factors, keeping tails below 80°F or above 87°F at very low probabilities consistent with climatology and current steering patterns. Updated forecast runs through the afternoon will refine the precise peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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