Recent forecast updates from regional models show Guangzhou under persistent subtropical high pressure with ample solar insolation, keeping daily maxima near 35–37 °C and driving the tight clustering around 36 °C and 37 °C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing: scattered thunderstorms or thicker marine-layer stratus can cap temperatures at 36 °C, while clearer skies allow greater surface heating to reach 37 °C. High humidity near 80 % and light winds further modulate the heat index but have less impact on the official dry-bulb maximum. Traders weigh ensemble spread from the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs, noting that any shift in steering flow or moisture influx ahead of August 7 could tip the balance within the narrow implied-probability window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 7 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Guangzhou el 7 de agosto?
37°C 30%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
39°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
7%
35°C
9%
36°C
26%
37°C
30%
38°C
22%
39°C
12%
40°C o más
2%
37°C 30%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
39°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
30°C o menos
$487 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10 Vol.
1%
33°C
$63 Vol.
10%
34°C
$300 Vol.
7%
35°C
$42 Vol.
9%
36°C
$36 Vol.
26%
37°C
$25 Vol.
30%
38°C
$59 Vol.
22%
39°C
$61 Vol.
12%
40°C o más
$37 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from regional models show Guangzhou under persistent subtropical high pressure with ample solar insolation, keeping daily maxima near 35–37 °C and driving the tight clustering around 36 °C and 37 °C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing: scattered thunderstorms or thicker marine-layer stratus can cap temperatures at 36 °C, while clearer skies allow greater surface heating to reach 37 °C. High humidity near 80 % and light winds further modulate the heat index but have less impact on the official dry-bulb maximum. Traders weigh ensemble spread from the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs, noting that any shift in steering flow or moisture influx ahead of August 7 could tip the balance within the narrow implied-probability window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,242Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from regional models show Guangzhou under persistent subtropical high pressure with ample solar insolation, keeping daily maxima near 35–37 °C and driving the tight clustering around 36 °C and 37 °C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing: scattered thunderstorms or thicker marine-layer stratus can cap temperatures at 36 °C, while clearer skies allow greater surface heating to reach 37 °C. High humidity near 80 % and light winds further modulate the heat index but have less impact on the official dry-bulb maximum. Traders weigh ensemble spread from the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs, noting that any shift in steering flow or moisture influx ahead of August 7 could tip the balance within the narrow implied-probability window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,242Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from regional models show Guangzhou under persistent subtropical high pressure with ample solar insolation, keeping daily maxima near 35–37 °C and driving the tight clustering around 36 °C and 37 °C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle variations in afternoon cloud cover and convective timing: scattered thunderstorms or thicker marine-layer stratus can cap temperatures at 36 °C, while clearer skies allow greater surface heating to reach 37 °C. High humidity near 80 % and light winds further modulate the heat index but have less impact on the official dry-bulb maximum. Traders weigh ensemble spread from the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model runs, noting that any shift in steering flow or moisture influx ahead of August 7 could tip the balance within the narrow implied-probability window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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