Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear or partly cloudy skies over Paris on August 7, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing, which favors minimum temperatures near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities at 52% for 12°C and 27% for 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of subtle differences in urban heat-island retention and dew-point depression. A preceding cooldown on August 6, with morning readings around 17°C, has reinforced the cooler trajectory relative to earlier warm-air-mass dominance. Historical August minima average near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns and model consensus support the lower range, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 7 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 7 de agosto?
12°C 52%
13°C 27%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
9°C o menos
5%
10°C
8%
11°C
14%
12°C
52%
13°C
27%
14°C
10%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C o más
1%
12°C 52%
13°C 27%
11°C 14%
14°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 ago 2026
9°C o menos
$15 Vol.
5%
10°C
$37 Vol.
8%
11°C
$0 Vol.
14%
12°C
$86 Vol.
52%
13°C
$0 Vol.
27%
14°C
$0 Vol.
10%
15°C
$0 Vol.
8%
16°C
$80 Vol.
1%
17°C
$20 Vol.
1%
18°C
$20 Vol.
1%
19°C o más
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear or partly cloudy skies over Paris on August 7, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing, which favors minimum temperatures near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities at 52% for 12°C and 27% for 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of subtle differences in urban heat-island retention and dew-point depression. A preceding cooldown on August 6, with morning readings around 17°C, has reinforced the cooler trajectory relative to earlier warm-air-mass dominance. Historical August minima average near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns and model consensus support the lower range, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$268Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear or partly cloudy skies over Paris on August 7, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing, which favors minimum temperatures near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities at 52% for 12°C and 27% for 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of subtle differences in urban heat-island retention and dew-point depression. A preceding cooldown on August 6, with morning readings around 17°C, has reinforced the cooler trajectory relative to earlier warm-air-mass dominance. Historical August minima average near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns and model consensus support the lower range, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$268Fecha de finalización
7 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF point to clear or partly cloudy skies over Paris on August 7, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling under light northerly winds and reduced boundary-layer mixing, which favors minimum temperatures near 12–13°C. This aligns with the market’s leading implied probabilities at 52% for 12°C and 27% for 13°C, reflecting trader assessment of subtle differences in urban heat-island retention and dew-point depression. A preceding cooldown on August 6, with morning readings around 17°C, has reinforced the cooler trajectory relative to earlier warm-air-mass dominance. Historical August minima average near 15°C, but current synoptic patterns and model consensus support the lower range, with fresh high-resolution runs expected to refine exact thresholds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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